Mayfield Childcare (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MFD Stock   0.45  0.01  2.27%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mayfield Childcare is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mayfield Childcare given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mayfield Childcare, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Mayfield Childcare Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mayfield and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Mayfield Childcare. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Mayfield Childcare Buy or Sell Advice

The Mayfield recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mayfield Childcare. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mayfield Childcare or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mayfield Childcare's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Mayfield ChildcareBuy Mayfield Childcare
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Mayfield Childcare has a Mean Deviation of 2.2, Standard Deviation of 3.7 and Variance of 13.66
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Mayfield Childcare. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Mayfield Childcare is not overpriced, please verify all Mayfield Childcare fundamentals, including its gross profit, net income, total debt, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash and equivalents .

Mayfield Childcare Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mayfield Childcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mayfield Childcare has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mayfield Childcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mayfield Childcare has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 76.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.31 M.
About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Sets Date for 2025 AGM and Director Nominations - TipRanks

Mayfield Childcare Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mayfield Childcare's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mayfield Childcare's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mayfield Childcare daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mayfield Childcare price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mayfield Childcare returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mayfield Childcare.
Mean Return
-0.15
Value At Risk
-6.67
Potential Upside
7.14
Standard Deviation
3.70
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mayfield Childcare historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mayfield Childcare Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash920.5K695.6K391.7K(2.3M)(2.1M)(2.0M)
Net Borrowings(3.9M)(6.3M)(5.5M)(9.8M)(8.8M)(8.4M)
Depreciation4.4M5.1M10.1M10.9M12.6M13.2M
Other Non Cash Items(8.2M)(7.7M)(15.1M)(1.3M)(1.1M)(1.2M)
Capital Expenditures1.0M1.0M1.4M1.9M2.2M2.3M
Net Income3.7M2.6M5.1M(1.4M)(1.6M)(1.6M)
Change To Netincome41.8K303.9K2.1M(2.7M)(2.4M)(2.3M)
Dividends Paid2.2M1.1M998.0K2.9M2.6M1.8M
End Period Cash Flow1.6M2.3M2.7M362.7K417.1K396.2K
Investments(1.1M)(11.6M)(1.2M)(6.3M)(7.2M)(7.6M)
Free Cash Flow(1.0M)(1.0M)13.8M7.3M8.4M8.8M

Mayfield Childcare Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mayfield Childcare or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mayfield Childcare's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mayfield stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.79
σ
Overall volatility
3.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Mayfield Childcare Volatility Alert

Mayfield Childcare exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.22 and kurtosis of 5.4. Mayfield Childcare is a potential penny stock. Although Mayfield Childcare may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Mayfield Childcare. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Mayfield instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Mayfield Childcare Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mayfield Childcare's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mayfield Childcare's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mayfield Childcare and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mayfield Childcare or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mayfield Childcare's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mayfield Childcare by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mayfield Childcare to competition
FundamentalsMayfield ChildcarePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0037-0.31
Return On Asset0.0145-0.14
Profit Margin0 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation202.09 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding75.42 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders70.67 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions2.91 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.51 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.38 X11.42 X
Revenue76.51 M9.43 B
Gross Profit88.31 M27.38 B
EBITDA13.18 M3.9 B
Net Income(1.43 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.66 M2.7 B
Total Debt160.41 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share1.00 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations9.19 M971.22 M
Target Price1.25
Number Of Employees1.1 K18.84 K
Beta0.97-0.15
Market Capitalization33.56 M19.03 B
Total Asset235.71 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.76 M9.33 B
Working Capital(20.02 M)1.48 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset235.71 M
Last Dividend Paid0.005

Mayfield Childcare Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mayfield . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mayfield Childcare Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mayfield Childcare? Buying financial instruments such as Mayfield Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Silver Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Mayfield Stock Analysis

When running Mayfield Childcare's price analysis, check to measure Mayfield Childcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mayfield Childcare is operating at the current time. Most of Mayfield Childcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mayfield Childcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mayfield Childcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mayfield Childcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.