Melia Hotels (Spain) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MEL Stock  EUR 7.13  0.04  0.56%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Melia Hotels is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Melia Hotels buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MEL positions.
  
Check out Melia Hotels Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Melia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Melia Hotels. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Melia Hotels Buy or Sell Advice

The Melia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Melia Hotels. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Melia Hotels or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Melia Hotels' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Melia HotelsBuy Melia Hotels
Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Melia Hotels has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0554, Jensen Alpha of 0.0891, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0815, Sortino Ratio of 0.0581 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1869
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Melia Hotels. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Melia Hotels is not overpriced, please verify all Melia Hotels fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, revenue, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the price to book and ebitda .

Melia Hotels Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Melia Hotels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has €1.18 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
The company reported the revenue of 827.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (217.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 349.93 M.
About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Melia Hotels Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Melia Hotels' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Melia Hotels' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Melia Hotels daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Melia Hotels price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Melia Hotels returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Melia Hotels.
Mean Return
0.10
Value At Risk
-2.63
Potential Upside
2.55
Standard Deviation
1.48
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Melia Hotels historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Melia Hotels Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Melia Hotels or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Melia Hotels' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Melia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
1.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Melia Hotels Volatility Alert

Melia Hotels has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.45 and kurtosis of 1.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Melia Hotels' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Melia Hotels' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Melia Hotels Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Melia Hotels' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Melia Hotels' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Melia Hotels and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Melia Hotels or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Melia Hotels' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Melia Hotels by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Melia Hotels to competition
FundamentalsMelia HotelsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0024-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.99 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding220.09 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders54.85 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions22.36 %39.21 %
Price To Earning14.23 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.45 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.68 X11.42 X
Revenue827.21 M9.43 B
Gross Profit349.93 M27.38 B
EBITDA125.02 M3.9 B
Net Income(217.39 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents313.84 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.38 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.18 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity67.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.01 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.44 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations126.85 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.11 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.62 X4.89 X
Target Price6.28
Number Of Employees10.8 K18.84 K
Beta1.81-0.15
Market Capitalization1.34 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.21 B29.47 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0.05 %
Five Year Return0.80 %
Net Asset4.21 B

Melia Hotels Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Melia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Melia Hotels Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Melia Hotels? Buying financial instruments such as Melia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Melia Hotels in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Rubber and Plastic Products Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Melia Stock

Melia Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Melia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Melia with respect to the benefits of owning Melia Hotels security.