Montrose Environmental Grp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MEG Stock  USD 16.89  0.02  0.12%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Montrose Environmental Grp is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Montrose Environmental buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MEG positions.
  
Check out Montrose Environmental Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Montrose and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Montrose Environmental Grp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Montrose Environmental Buy or Sell Advice

The Montrose recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Montrose Environmental Grp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Montrose Environmental Grp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Montrose Environmental's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Montrose EnvironmentalBuy Montrose Environmental
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Montrose Environmental Grp has a Mean Deviation of 3.84, Semi Deviation of 4.87, Standard Deviation of 6.04, Variance of 36.42, Downside Variance of 25.41 and Semi Variance of 23.71
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Montrose Environmental Grp and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Montrose Environmental is not overpriced, please verify all Montrose Environmental Grp fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, target price, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Montrose Environmental has a price to earning of 45.13 X, we recommend you to check Montrose Environmental market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Montrose Environmental Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Montrose Environmental had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 696.39 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (62.31 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 278.2 M.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jeremiah Gregory Promoted to VP of Marketing Strategy at digifora

Montrose Environmental Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Montrose Environmental's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Montrose Environmental's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Montrose Environmental daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Montrose Environmental Grp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Montrose Environmental returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Montrose Environmental.
Mean Return
0.16
Value At Risk
-7.61
Potential Upside
7.20
Standard Deviation
6.04
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Montrose Environmental historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Montrose Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
718.2 K
State Street Corp2024-12-31
713.1 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-12-31
712.9 K
Hhg Plc2024-12-31
681.1 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
677.2 K
Blair William & Co2024-12-31
646.6 K
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2024-12-31
627.2 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
583.5 K
Summit Creek Advisors Llc2024-12-31
577.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
2.8 M
Bamco Inc2024-12-31
2.3 M
Note, although Montrose Environmental's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Montrose Environmental Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Capital Expenditures7.8M7.6M10.0M32.9M21.3M17.8M
Net Income(57.9M)(25.3M)(31.8M)(30.9M)(62.3M)(65.4M)
Change In Cash28.0M111.9M(56.9M)(66.6M)(10.3M)(9.8M)
Net Borrowings74.4M24.7M(1.6M)(12.7M)(11.4M)(10.9M)
Depreciation37.3M53.0M56.8M56.0M64.3M45.7M
Change To Netincome14.7M43.8M43.2M38.2M34.4M38.0M
End Period Cash Flow34.9M146.7M89.8M23.2M12.9M12.3M
Investments(179.7M)(71.6M)(38.7M)(108.4M)(138.0M)(144.9M)
Free Cash Flow(5.9M)30.0M10.6M23.1M902K856.9K
Other Non Cash Items33.5M15.9M(26.8M)(1.6M)3.7M4.3M

Montrose Environmental Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Montrose Environmental or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Montrose Environmental's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Montrose stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
6.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Montrose Environmental Volatility Alert

Montrose Environmental Grp is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Montrose Environmental's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Montrose Environmental's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Montrose Environmental Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Montrose Environmental's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Montrose Environmental's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Montrose Environmental and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Montrose Environmental or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Montrose Environmental's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Montrose Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Montrose Environmental to competition
FundamentalsMontrose EnvironmentalPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.12-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0196-0.14
Profit Margin(0.09) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.11) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation848.06 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding34.34 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.03 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions92.97 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.28 M4.71 M
Price To Earning45.13 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.30 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.83 X11.42 X
Revenue696.39 M9.43 B
Gross Profit278.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA25.88 M3.9 B
Net Income(62.31 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents99.78 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.36 X5.01 X
Total Debt76.18 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.44 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations22.23 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.89 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.22) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.23 X4.89 X
Target Price34.83
Number Of Employees3.41 K18.84 K
Beta1.72-0.15
Market Capitalization580 M19.03 B
Total Asset990.35 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(272.67 M)9.33 B
Working Capital79.34 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Fernandez De Castro Jose Miguel of 10000 shares of Montrose Environmental at 18.07 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Montrose Environmental Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Montrose . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Montrose Environmental Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Montrose Environmental Grp? Buying financial instruments such as Montrose Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Automobiles and Trucks Theme
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When determining whether Montrose Environmental is a strong investment it is important to analyze Montrose Environmental's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Montrose Environmental's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Montrose Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Montrose Environmental Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Montrose Environmental. If investors know Montrose will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Montrose Environmental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.22)
Revenue Per Share
21.064
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.141
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
(0.12)
The market value of Montrose Environmental is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Montrose that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Montrose Environmental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Montrose Environmental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Montrose Environmental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Montrose Environmental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Montrose Environmental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Montrose Environmental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Montrose Environmental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.