Moleculin Biotech Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MBRX Stock  USD 1.13  0.03  2.59%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Moleculin Biotech is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Moleculin Biotech given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Moleculin Biotech, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Moleculin Biotech Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Moleculin Stock please use our How to Invest in Moleculin Biotech guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Moleculin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Moleculin Biotech. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Moleculin Biotech Buy or Sell Advice

The Moleculin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Moleculin Biotech. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Moleculin Biotech or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Moleculin Biotech's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Moleculin BiotechBuy Moleculin Biotech
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Extremely DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Moleculin Biotech has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0346, Jensen Alpha of 1.36, Total Risk Alpha of 4.31, Sortino Ratio of 0.0906 and Treynor Ratio of 0.151
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Moleculin Biotech. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Moleculin Biotech is not overpriced, please verify all Moleculin Biotech fundamentals, including its market capitalization, net asset, as well as the relationship between the cash flow from operations and cash and equivalents . Given that Moleculin Biotech is a hitting penny stock territory we strongly suggest to closely look at its price to earning.

Moleculin Biotech Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Moleculin Biotech is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Moleculin Biotech may become a speculative penny stock
Moleculin Biotech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (29.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Moleculin Biotech currently holds about 58 M in cash with (24.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Moleculin Biotech has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 1053 shares by Foster Jonathan P. of Moleculin Biotech at 3.74 subject to Rule 16b-3

Moleculin Biotech Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Moleculin Biotech's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Moleculin Biotech's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Moleculin Biotech daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Moleculin Biotech price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Moleculin Biotech returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Moleculin Biotech.
Mean Return
0.80
Value At Risk
-17.65
Potential Upside
14.72
Standard Deviation
28.08
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Moleculin Biotech historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Moleculin Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Moleculin Biotech, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Moleculin Biotech back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
426
Sbi Securities Co Ltd2024-12-31
405
Bogart Wealth, Llc2024-12-31
300
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
104
Sandy Spring Bank2024-12-31
89.0
Cva Family Office, Llc2024-12-31
34.0
Kestra Investment Management, Llc2024-12-31
25.0
North Star Investment Management Corp2024-12-31
17.0
Northern Trust Investments N A2024-12-31
0.0
Armistice Capital, Llc2024-12-31
317.6 K
Lpl Financial Corp2024-12-31
41.2 K
Note, although Moleculin Biotech's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Moleculin Biotech Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash4.4M55.7M(27.8M)(19.6M)(17.6M)(16.8M)
Free Cash Flow(18.1M)(19.0M)(27.7M)(24.2M)(21.8M)(22.9M)
Depreciation200K164K130K127K146.1K112.9K
Other Non Cash Items85K96K(1.2M)1.9M2.2M2.3M
Capital Expenditures376K19K67K124K142.6K137.6K
Net Income(17.4M)(15.9M)(29.0M)(29.8M)(26.8M)(25.5M)
End Period Cash Flow15.2M70.9M43.1M23.6M27.1M22.4M
Change To Netincome(2.0M)(2.5M)(575K)(4.3M)(3.8M)(3.6M)
Investments(374K)(19K)(67K)(43K)(49.5K)(51.9K)

Moleculin Biotech Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Moleculin Biotech or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Moleculin Biotech's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Moleculin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones5.24
σ
Overall volatility
29.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Moleculin Biotech Volatility Alert

Moleculin Biotech is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Moleculin Biotech is a potential penny stock. Although Moleculin Biotech may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Moleculin Biotech. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Moleculin instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Moleculin Biotech Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Moleculin Biotech's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Moleculin Biotech's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Moleculin Biotech and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Moleculin Biotech or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Moleculin Biotech's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Moleculin Biotech by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Moleculin Biotech to competition
FundamentalsMoleculin BiotechPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.41-0.31
Return On Asset-0.57-0.14
Current Valuation4.91 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding12.01 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.83 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions3.87 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.2 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(3.81) X28.72 X
Price To Book1.86 X9.51 X
EBITDA(29.5 M)3.9 B
Net Income(29.77 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents58 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.03 X5.01 X
Total Debt574 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio10.47 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.49 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(24.1 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.08 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(12.04) X3.12 X
Target Price18.0
Number Of Employees1818.84 K
Beta1.94-0.15
Market Capitalization13.57 M19.03 B
Total Asset38.22 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(131.6 M)9.33 B
Working Capital19.46 M1.48 B
Current Asset28.09 K9.34 B
Current Liabilities772.79 K7.9 B
Net Asset38.22 M
Note: Acquisition by Foster Jonathan P. of 162667 shares of Moleculin Biotech subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Moleculin Biotech Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Moleculin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Moleculin Biotech Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Moleculin Biotech? Buying financial instruments such as Moleculin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Obamacare Theme
Health care services and providers including hospitals, clinics and nursing homes that hope to benefit from Obamacare program. The Obamacare theme has 37 constituents at this time.
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Additional Tools for Moleculin Stock Analysis

When running Moleculin Biotech's price analysis, check to measure Moleculin Biotech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moleculin Biotech is operating at the current time. Most of Moleculin Biotech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moleculin Biotech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moleculin Biotech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moleculin Biotech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.