Mbia Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MBI Stock | USD 6.89 0.06 0.86% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding MBIA Inc is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of MBIA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out MBIA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as MBIA and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards MBIA Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
MBIA |
Execute MBIA Buy or Sell Advice
The MBIA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MBIA Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MBIA Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MBIA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
MBIA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| MBIA Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 6 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (484 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 25 M. | |
| MBIA Inc has about 50 M in cash with (195 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.13, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sell Richard Vaughan Sells 12,821 Shares of MBIA Inc |
MBIA Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of MBIA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MBIA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MBIA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MBIA Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MBIA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MBIA.
| Mean Return | 1.00 | Value At Risk | -4.02 | Potential Upside | 7.12 | Standard Deviation | 4.24 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MBIA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
MBIA Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 630.9 K | Tcw Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 460.8 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 455.8 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 422.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 412.9 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 400.3 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 384.5 K | Chou Associates Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 321 K | Gsa Capital Partners Llp | 2024-09-30 | 316.2 K | Kahn Brothers & Co Inc /de/ | 2024-06-30 | 5.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.3 M |
MBIA Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (197M) | 84M | (7M) | (82M) | 30M | 20.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (294M) | (390M) | 510M | (418M) | (195M) | (204.8M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 207M | (30M) | (61M) | 9M | 173M | 181.7M | |
| Net Income | (359M) | (578M) | (445M) | (149M) | (484M) | (459.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 83M | 167M | 160M | 78M | 108M | 102.6M | |
| Investments | 1.2B | 1.7B | (71M) | 623M | 767M | 1.3B | |
| Net Borrowings | (832M) | (950M) | (456M) | (282M) | (324.3M) | (340.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (77M) | (73M) | 6M | 67M | 77.1M | 80.9M |
MBIA Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MBIA or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MBIA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MBIA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
MBIA Volatility Alert
MBIA Inc shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MBIA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MBIA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.MBIA Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing MBIA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MBIA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MBIA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MBIA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MBIA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MBIA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare MBIA to competition |
| Fundamentals | MBIA | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | -0.0726 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.46 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 51.03 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 13.95 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 47.36 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.11 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (0.59) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.52 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 53.33 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 25 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (7 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (484 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 50 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 12.13 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.16 B | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 3.58 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (39.21) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (195 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.62 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (11.19) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.90) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 6.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 61 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.2 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 351.6 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.61 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.14 B) | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Net Asset | 2.61 B |
Note: Disposition of 3821 shares by Richard Vaughan of MBIA at 6.45 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
MBIA Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MBIA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12550.03 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.23) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.92 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.91 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 70.99 |
About MBIA Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell MBIA Inc? Buying financial instruments such as MBIA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out MBIA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MBIA. If investors know MBIA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MBIA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (11.19) | Revenue Per Share (0.28) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.44) | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of MBIA Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MBIA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MBIA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MBIA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MBIA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MBIA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MBIA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MBIA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MBIA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.