Lifeway Foods Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LWAY Stock  USD 20.06  0.36  1.76%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lifeway Foods is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Lifeway Foods given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Lifeway Foods, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Lifeway Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Lifeway Stock please use our How to Invest in Lifeway Foods guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lifeway and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lifeway Foods. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Lifeway Foods Buy or Sell Advice

The Lifeway recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lifeway Foods. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lifeway Foods or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lifeway Foods' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Lifeway FoodsBuy Lifeway Foods
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Lifeway Foods has a Mean Deviation of 1.38, Standard Deviation of 1.86 and Variance of 3.46
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Lifeway Foods. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Lifeway Foods is not overpriced, please verify all Lifeway Foods fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Lifeway Foods has a price to earning of 31.98 X, we recommend you to check Lifeway Foods market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Lifeway Foods Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Lifeway Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lifeway Foods has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Lifeway Foods GAAP EPS of 0.60 misses by 0.22, revenue of 186.8M misses by 1.09M

Lifeway Foods Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Lifeway Foods' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lifeway Foods' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lifeway Foods daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lifeway Foods price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lifeway Foods returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lifeway Foods.
Mean Return
-0.29
Value At Risk
-3.33
Potential Upside
2.18
Standard Deviation
1.86
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lifeway Foods historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Lifeway Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Lifeway Foods, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lifeway Foods back and forth among themselves.
Shares
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
69.3 K
State Street Corp2024-12-31
58.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
58 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
55.8 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-12-31
53.3 K
Slotnik Capital Llc2024-12-31
53 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
46.1 K
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2024-12-31
45 K
Los Angeles Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
42.8 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
436.4 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
315 K
Note, although Lifeway Foods' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Lifeway Foods Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash4.1M1.3M(4.8M)8.8M10.1M10.6M
Free Cash Flow4.5M3.6M538K12.6M14.5M15.2M
Other Non Cash Items(83K)(18K)219K(26K)(29.9K)(28.4K)
Capital Expenditures2.8M1.2M1.9M1.9M3.4M4.4M
End Period Cash Flow7.9M9.2M4.4M13.2M15.2M15.9M
Depreciation3.2M2.9M3.0M3.2M3.6M3.8M
Net Income3.2M3.3M924K11.4M13.1M13.7M
Change To Inventory(538K)(1.4M)(1.3M)527K474.3K498.0K
Change To Netincome(2.0M)1.2M1.5M1.2M1.4M1.4M
Investments(1.9M)(7.1M)(4.0M)(4.0M)(3.6M)(3.5M)
Change Receivables2.4M(423K)(1.3M)(1.5M)(1.7M)(1.6M)
Net Borrowings(298K)(3.3M)4.5M(750K)(862.5K)(819.4K)

Lifeway Foods Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lifeway Foods or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lifeway Foods' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lifeway stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
1.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Lifeway Foods Volatility Alert

Lifeway Foods exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.29 and kurtosis of 2.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lifeway Foods' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lifeway Foods' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Lifeway Foods Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Lifeway Foods' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lifeway Foods' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lifeway Foods and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lifeway Foods or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lifeway Foods' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lifeway Foods by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Lifeway Foods to competition
FundamentalsLifeway FoodsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.21-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation276.8 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.82 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders68.48 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions23.39 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted246.55 K4.71 M
Price To Earning31.98 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.16 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.63 X11.42 X
Revenue186.82 M9.43 B
Gross Profit51.22 M27.38 B
EBITDA13.85 M3.9 B
Net Income11.37 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.49 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.42 X5.01 X
Total Debt70 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.14 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.46 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.83 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations16.94 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.86 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.86 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth7.54 X4.89 X
Target Price28.0
Number Of Employees28818.84 K
Beta1.0-0.15
Market Capitalization297.22 M19.03 B
Total Asset90.55 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings74.82 M9.33 B
Working Capital21.58 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 10000 shares by Smolyansky Ludmila of Lifeway Foods at 21.31 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Lifeway Foods Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lifeway . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Lifeway Foods Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Lifeway Foods? Buying financial instruments such as Lifeway Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Lifeway Stock Analysis

When running Lifeway Foods' price analysis, check to measure Lifeway Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lifeway Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Lifeway Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lifeway Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lifeway Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lifeway Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.