Lightspeed Commerce Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LSPD Stock  CAD 15.48  0.69  4.67%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lightspeed Commerce is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Lightspeed Commerce's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Lightspeed Commerce Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Lightspeed Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lightspeed Commerce guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lightspeed and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lightspeed Commerce. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Lightspeed Commerce Buy or Sell Advice

The Lightspeed recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lightspeed Commerce. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lightspeed Commerce or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lightspeed Commerce's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Lightspeed CommerceBuy Lightspeed Commerce
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Lightspeed Commerce has a Mean Deviation of 1.8, Standard Deviation of 2.61 and Variance of 6.81
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Lightspeed Commerce and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Lightspeed Commerce is not overpriced, please verify all Lightspeed Commerce fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, number of shares shorted, as well as the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Lightspeed Commerce Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Lightspeed Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 909.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (163.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 438.06 M.
Lightspeed Commerce has accumulated about 800.15 M in cash with (97.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.19.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Down -9.68 percent in 4 Weeks, Heres Why You Should You Buy the Dip in Lightspeed POS - Nasdaq

Lightspeed Commerce Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Lightspeed Commerce's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lightspeed Commerce's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lightspeed Commerce daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lightspeed Commerce price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lightspeed Commerce returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lightspeed Commerce.
Mean Return
-0.64
Value At Risk
-4.33
Potential Upside
3.33
Standard Deviation
2.61
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lightspeed Commerce historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Lightspeed Commerce Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(256K)(6.0M)(5.3M)(3.7M)(3.3M)(3.1M)
Change In Cash596.2M146.5M(153.5M)(78.1M)(70.2M)(66.7M)
Free Cash Flow(94.9M)(97.9M)(138.4M)(115.9M)(104.3M)(99.1M)
Depreciation36.5M104.5M115.3M109.6M126.1M132.4M
Other Non Cash Items6.3M(3.0M)764.2M(42.6M)(49.0M)(46.6M)
Capital Expenditures1.8M10.7M13.1M18.2M20.9M22.0M
Net Income(124.3M)(288.4M)(1.1B)(164.0M)(147.6M)(154.9M)
End Period Cash Flow807.2M953.7M800.2M722.1M830.4M460.8M
Change To Netincome163.3M15.5M33.1M123.0M141.4M72.8M
Investments(235.0M)(563.9M)8.8M26.0M23.4M24.5M

Lightspeed Commerce Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lightspeed Commerce or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lightspeed Commerce's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lightspeed stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.22
σ
Overall volatility
2.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Lightspeed Commerce Volatility Alert

Lightspeed Commerce exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.47 and kurtosis of 6.48. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lightspeed Commerce's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lightspeed Commerce's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Lightspeed Commerce Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Lightspeed Commerce's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lightspeed Commerce's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lightspeed Commerce and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lightspeed Commerce or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lightspeed Commerce's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lightspeed Commerce by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Lightspeed Commerce to competition
FundamentalsLightspeed CommercePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0521-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0276-0.14
Profit Margin(0.12) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.08) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding152.97 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.20 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions66.06 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.46 M4.71 M
Price To Book0.71 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.25 X11.42 X
Revenue909.27 M9.43 B
Gross Profit438.06 M27.38 B
EBITDA(49.43 M)3.9 B
Net Income(163.96 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents800.15 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.19 X5.01 X
Total Debt23.21 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.14 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.30 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.16 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(97.67 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.67 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.15) X3.12 X
Target Price24.01
Beta2.74-0.15
Market Capitalization2.37 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.58 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(2.16 B)9.33 B
Working Capital773.23 M1.48 B
Net Asset2.58 B

Lightspeed Commerce Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lightspeed . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Lightspeed Commerce Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Lightspeed Commerce? Buying financial instruments such as Lightspeed Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Lightspeed Commerce in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Consumption Thematic Idea Now

Consumption
Consumption Theme
Companies that deliver final goods such as cars or clothing for consumption by consumers. The Consumption theme has 19 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumption Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Lightspeed Commerce is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lightspeed Commerce's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lightspeed Commerce's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lightspeed Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Lightspeed Commerce Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Lightspeed Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lightspeed Commerce guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lightspeed Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lightspeed Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lightspeed Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.