Lumentum Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LITE Stock | USD 63.61 3.32 5.51% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lumentum Holdings is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Lumentum Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LITE positions.
Check out Lumentum Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Lumentum Stock refer to our How to Trade Lumentum Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lumentum and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Lumentum Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
Lumentum |
Execute Lumentum Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Lumentum recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lumentum Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lumentum Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lumentum Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Lumentum Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Lumentum Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lumentum Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.36 B. Net Loss for the year was (546.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 381.2 M. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 5541 shares by Ali Wajid of Lumentum Holdings at 59.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Lumentum Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Lumentum Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lumentum Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lumentum Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lumentum Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lumentum Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lumentum Holdings.
| Mean Return | -0.46 | Value At Risk | -7.31 | Potential Upside | 5.51 | Standard Deviation | 4.58 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lumentum Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Lumentum Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Barrow Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Schroder Investment Management Group | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 838.3 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 829.4 K | Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 821.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 738 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 700.9 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 7.4 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-12-31 | 6.8 M |
Lumentum Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (6.6M) | (51.8M) | (81.5M) | 73.8M | 84.9M | 89.1M | |
| Change In Cash | 476.3M | 515.9M | (431.2M) | (422.3M) | (380.1M) | (361.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 653.9M | 368.1M | 51.3M | (111.3M) | (128.0M) | (121.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 177.1M | 167.1M | 255.6M | 261.2M | 300.4M | 315.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 70.1M | 80.8M | 14.8M | 42.4M | 48.8M | 35.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 84.8M | 91.2M | 128.5M | 136M | 156.4M | 101.2M | |
| Net Income | 397.3M | 198.9M | (131.6M) | (546.5M) | (491.9M) | (467.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 774.3M | 1.3B | 859M | 436.7M | 502.2M | 420.8M | |
| Investments | 1M | (141.5M) | 115.8M | (114.3M) | (131.4M) | (138.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 532.2M | (500K) | 852.3M | 593.5M | 682.5M | 716.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 117.4M | 102.6M | 90.4M | 113.4M | 130.4M | 68.1M | |
| Change Receivables | 27.7M | 5M | (49.2M) | 83.2M | 95.7M | 100.5M |
Lumentum Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lumentum Holdings or Communications Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lumentum Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lumentum stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Lumentum Holdings Volatility Alert
Lumentum Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.73 and kurtosis of 7.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lumentum Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lumentum Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Lumentum Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Lumentum Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lumentum Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lumentum Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lumentum Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lumentum Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lumentum Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Lumentum Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Lumentum Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.49 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0469 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.37) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.13) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.88 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 69.2 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.88 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.12 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 10.22 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 22.92 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.78 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.11 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.36 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 381.2 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (110.7 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (546.5 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.55 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 37.43 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.56 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.03 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.38 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.62 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 24.7 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.78 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (7.72) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.97 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 99.69 | |
| Number Of Employees | 7.26 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.04 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.4 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.93 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (887.1 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.32 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 5541 shares by Ali Wajid of Lumentum Holdings at 59.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Lumentum Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lumentum . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Lumentum Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Lumentum Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Lumentum Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Lumentum Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Lumentum Stock refer to our How to Trade Lumentum Stock guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lumentum Holdings. If investors know Lumentum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lumentum Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.711 | Earnings Share (7.72) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Lumentum Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lumentum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lumentum Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lumentum Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lumentum Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lumentum Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lumentum Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lumentum Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lumentum Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.