LGI (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LGI Stock   2.93  0.11  3.62%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding LGI is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell LGI given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for LGI, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out LGI Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as LGI and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. LGI. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute LGI Buy or Sell Advice

The LGI recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on LGI. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in LGI or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute LGI's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell LGIBuy LGI
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon LGI has a Mean Deviation of 1.31, Semi Deviation of 1.92, Standard Deviation of 1.9, Variance of 3.61, Downside Variance of 5.85 and Semi Variance of 3.7
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on LGI. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available today. To make sure LGI is not overpriced, please verify all LGI fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, price to sales, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and price to book .

LGI Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

LGI is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: LGI Homes Unveils Luxury Acre-Lot Community Near Raleigh with Homes from Mid-300s - StockTitan

LGI Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of LGI's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of LGI's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of LGI daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use LGI price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of LGI returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for LGI.
Mean Return
0.14
Value At Risk
-3.32
Potential Upside
3.33
Standard Deviation
1.90
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of LGI historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

LGI Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(627.3K)(45.4K)(39K)(837K)2.4M2.5M
Free Cash Flow(5.6M)(508K)(891K)(4.4M)(6.8M)(6.4M)
Depreciation2.5M3.6M4.1M4.7M5.3M3.6M
Other Non Cash Items5.4M9.5M11.7M14.1M(1.2M)(1.1M)
Capital Expenditures7.5M3.8M8.3M11.3M16.7M10.0M
Net Income1.2M1.7M4.8M6.4M6.7M3.7M
End Period Cash Flow973.4K928K889K52K2.4M1.3M

LGI Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to LGI or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that LGI's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a LGI stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

LGI Volatility Alert

LGI currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure LGI's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact LGI's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

LGI Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing LGI's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze LGI's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between LGI and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as LGI or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of LGI's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LGI by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare LGI to competition
FundamentalsLGIPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0812-0.14
Profit Margin0.20 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.31 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation282.44 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding88.81 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders58.25 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions17.60 %39.21 %
Price To Book4.93 X9.51 X
Price To Sales7.87 X11.42 X
Revenue33.25 M9.43 B
Gross Profit22.74 M27.38 B
EBITDA15.31 M3.9 B
Net Income6.67 M570.98 M
Total Debt24.66 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.59 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations9.91 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.08 X3.12 X
Target Price3.43
Beta0.33-0.15
Market Capitalization260.21 M19.03 B
Total Asset88.59 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings20.38 M9.33 B
Working Capital14.02 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset88.59 M
Last Dividend Paid0.025

LGI Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as LGI . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About LGI Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell LGI? Buying financial instruments such as LGI Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having LGI in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Buywrite ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Buywrite ETFs
Buywrite ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Buywrite ETFs theme has 25 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Buywrite ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Additional Tools for LGI Stock Analysis

When running LGI's price analysis, check to measure LGI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LGI is operating at the current time. Most of LGI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LGI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LGI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LGI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.