James River Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| JRVR Stock | USD 4.01 0.01 0.25% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding James River Group is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell James River Group within the specified time frame.
Check out James River Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as James and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. James River Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
James |
Execute James River Buy or Sell Advice
The James recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on James River Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in James River Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute James River's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Relatively risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
James River Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| James River Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| James River Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 707.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (81.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 153.25 M. | |
| James River Group currently holds about 481.18 M in cash with (247.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.85, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| James River Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: James River Group Holdings, Ltd. to Issue 0.01 Quarterly Dividend |
James River Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of James River's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of James River's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of James River daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use James River Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of James River returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for James River.
| Mean Return | -0.12 | Value At Risk | -3.4 | Potential Upside | 4.31 | Standard Deviation | 4.25 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of James River historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
James Stock Institutional Investors
The James River's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase James River's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-12-31 | 749 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 617.1 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 576.3 K | Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc | 2024-12-31 | 529.4 K | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 518.9 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-12-31 | 426.1 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 389.3 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 379.8 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-12-31 | 345.9 K | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2024-12-31 | 3.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.2 M |
James River Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 549K | 6.3M | 8.2M | 6.4M | 4.9M | 5.1M | |
| Net Income | 4.8M | (172.8M) | 31.0M | (107.7M) | (81.1M) | (77.1M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.3M | 18.5M | (28.0M) | (36.1M) | (41.6M) | (43.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.0B | 292.1M | 276.4M | 359.9M | 64.5M | 61.3M | |
| Change To Inventory | 1.7B | (86.7M) | (109.0M) | 100.0M | 115.0M | 109.2M | |
| Change In Cash | (383.9M) | (730.1M) | (15.7M) | 83.6M | 62.6M | 65.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (273.8M) | (919.8M) | 214.5M | 81.5M | (252.0M) | (239.4M) | |
| Depreciation | 5.0M | 4.7M | 1.0M | (475K) | (709K) | (673.6K) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 14.4M | (19.8M) | 39.7M | 144.9M | 5.5M | 5.2M | |
| Investments | (280.7M) | 50.9M | (328.2M) | (84.0M) | 307.0M | 322.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | 20M | 40M | 104M | (40M) | (36M) | (34.2M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 37.1M | 43.2M | 13.9M | 18.2M | 19.0M | 33.9M | |
| Change Receivables | (142.5M) | 902.0M | (552.6M) | (1.4B) | (1.3B) | (1.2B) |
James River Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to James River or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that James River's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a James stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0045 |
James River Volatility Alert
James River Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -4.38 and kurtosis of 30.9. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure James River's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact James River's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.James River Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing James River's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze James River's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between James River and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as James River or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of James River's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing James River by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare James River to competition |
| Fundamentals | James River | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0997 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0056 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.11) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.53) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 258.89 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 45.64 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.95 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 75.44 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.39 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 152.03 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.40 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.26 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 707.63 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 153.25 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (63.49 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (81.12 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 481.18 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 12.85 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 304.86 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.44 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.29 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.10 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (247.09 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.03 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.60) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 6.85 | |
| Number Of Employees | 645 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.055 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 183.03 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.01 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (402.41 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 165 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 651 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 7490 shares by Dorazio Frank of James River at 4.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
James River Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as James . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About James River Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell James River Group? Buying financial instruments such as James Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for James Stock Analysis
When running James River's price analysis, check to measure James River's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy James River is operating at the current time. Most of James River's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of James River's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move James River's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of James River to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.