Hertz Global Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HTZ Stock  USD 3.82  0.45  13.35%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hertz Global Holdings is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hertz Global Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hertz Global Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Hertz Global Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hertz and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hertz Global Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Hertz Global Buy or Sell Advice

The Hertz recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hertz Global Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hertz Global Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hertz Global's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hertz GlobalBuy Hertz Global
Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Hertz Global Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), Jensen Alpha of 0.0161, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3422 and Treynor Ratio of (0.10)
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Hertz Global. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Hertz Global Holdings is not overpriced, please check out all Hertz Global fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that Hertz Global Holdings has a price to earning of 20.51 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Hertz Global Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Hertz Global Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Hertz Global had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 9.05 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.86 B) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (209 M).
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading

Hertz Global Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hertz Global's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hertz Global's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hertz Global daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hertz Global Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hertz Global returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hertz Global.
Mean Return
-0.22
Value At Risk
-8.45
Potential Upside
6.57
Standard Deviation
4.53
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hertz Global historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hertz Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Hertz Global, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hertz Global Holdings back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
2.6 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
2.3 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
1.4 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
1.4 M
Allianz Asset Management Ag2024-12-31
1.1 M
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-12-31
1.1 M
Par Capital Management Inc2024-12-31
M
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
967.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
866 K
Knighthead Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
181.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
19.8 M
Note, although Hertz Global's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Hertz Global Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash218M1.1B(1.2B)(212M)(73M)(69.4M)
Free Cash Flow(4.7B)(5.4B)(8.2B)(7.2B)2.2B2.3B
Depreciation2.5B796M951M2.6B4.1B2.6B
Other Non Cash Items360M783M(699M)(49M)969M1.0B
Capital Expenditures5.6B7.2B10.7B9.7B10.6B8.4B
Net Income(1.7B)365M2.1B616M(2.9B)(2.7B)
End Period Cash Flow1.6B2.7B1.4B1.2B1.1B1.1B
Net Borrowings767M(5.2B)(262M)3.0B2.7B2.8B
Change To Netincome71M(63M)627M(210M)(241.5M)(229.4M)

Hertz Global Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hertz Global or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hertz Global's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hertz stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.22
σ
Overall volatility
4.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Hertz Global Volatility Alert

Hertz Global Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.24 and kurtosis of 1.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hertz Global's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hertz Global's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Hertz Global Implied Volatility

Hertz Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hertz Global Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hertz Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hertz Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hertz Global's options are near their expiration.

Hertz Global Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hertz Global's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hertz Global's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hertz Global and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hertz Global or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hertz Global's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hertz Global by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hertz Global to competition
FundamentalsHertz GlobalPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.76-0.31
Return On Asset-0.031-0.14
Profit Margin(0.32) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.12) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.85 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding306.83 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.95 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions91.42 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted44.68 M4.71 M
Price To Earning20.51 X28.72 X
Price To Book6.76 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.13 X11.42 X
Revenue9.05 B9.43 B
Gross Profit(209 M)27.38 B
EBITDA1.84 B3.9 B
Net Income(2.86 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.15 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.45 X5.01 X
Total Debt16.34 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity5.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.84 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.50 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.22 B971.22 M
Short Ratio9.99 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(9.34) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.24) X4.89 X
Target Price3.39
Number Of Employees26 K18.84 K
Beta2.45-0.15
Market Capitalization1.17 B19.03 B
Total Asset21.8 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(2.5 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(826 M)1.48 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Hertz Global Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hertz . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hertz Global Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hertz Global Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Hertz Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Hertz Stock Analysis

When running Hertz Global's price analysis, check to measure Hertz Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hertz Global is operating at the current time. Most of Hertz Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hertz Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hertz Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hertz Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.