Gubre Fabrikalari (Turkey) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GUBRF Stock | TRY 278.75 2.25 0.80% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Gubre Fabrikalari TAS is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Gubre Fabrikalari's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Gubre Fabrikalari Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gubre and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Gubre Fabrikalari TAS. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Gubre |
Execute Gubre Fabrikalari Buy or Sell Advice
The Gubre recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gubre Fabrikalari TAS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gubre Fabrikalari TAS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gubre Fabrikalari's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Gubre Fabrikalari Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Gubre Fabrikalari has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Gubre Fabrikalari TAS has accumulated 1.71 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 149.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Gubre Fabrikalari TAS has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gubre Fabrikalari until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gubre Fabrikalari's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gubre Fabrikalari TAS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gubre to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gubre Fabrikalari's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Gubre Fabrikalari TAS has accumulated about 729.4 M in cash with (514.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.18. | |
| Roughly 85.0% of Gubre Fabrikalari shares are held by company insiders |
Gubre Fabrikalari Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Gubre Fabrikalari's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gubre Fabrikalari's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gubre Fabrikalari daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gubre Fabrikalari TAS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gubre Fabrikalari returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gubre Fabrikalari.
| Mean Return | 0.58 | Value At Risk | -3.13 | Potential Upside | 5.02 | Standard Deviation | 2.73 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gubre Fabrikalari historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Gubre Fabrikalari Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gubre Fabrikalari or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gubre Fabrikalari's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gubre stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Gubre Fabrikalari Volatility Alert
Gubre Fabrikalari TAS currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.2 and Jensen Alpha of 0.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gubre Fabrikalari's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gubre Fabrikalari's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Gubre Fabrikalari Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Gubre Fabrikalari's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gubre Fabrikalari's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gubre Fabrikalari and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gubre Fabrikalari or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gubre Fabrikalari's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gubre Fabrikalari by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Gubre Fabrikalari to competition |
| Fundamentals | Gubre Fabrikalari | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.16 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 71.54 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 334 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 85.00 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.99 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 82.93 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 15.65 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.12 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 10.77 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.58 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 973.35 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 523.13 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 729.4 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.18 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.71 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 149.50 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.92 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 13.32 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (514.24 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.24 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 3.92 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.5 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.13 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 58.58 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 13.05 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 576 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (16 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.71 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 1.73 B | 7.9 B |
| Z Score | 20.4 | 8.72 |
Gubre Fabrikalari Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gubre . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 75560.84 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.32) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 280.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 280.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.25) |
About Gubre Fabrikalari Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Gubre Fabrikalari TAS? Buying financial instruments such as Gubre Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Gubre Stock
Gubre Fabrikalari financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gubre Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gubre with respect to the benefits of owning Gubre Fabrikalari security.