Great Southern Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GSBC Stock | USD 56.66 0.73 1.31% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Great Southern Bancorp is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Great Southern buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GSBC positions.
Check out Great Southern Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Great and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Great Southern Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
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Execute Great Southern Buy or Sell Advice
The Great recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Great Southern Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Great Southern Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Great Southern's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Great Southern Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Great Southern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Great Southern Bancorp Inc Q3 2024 Earnings EPS of 1.41 - GuruFocus.com |
Great Southern Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Great Southern's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Great Southern's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Great Southern daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Great Southern Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Great Southern returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Great Southern.
| Mean Return | -0.17 | Value At Risk | -3.02 | Potential Upside | 2.27 | Standard Deviation | 1.64 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Great Southern historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Great Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Manufacturers Life Insurance Co | 2024-12-31 | 126.1 K | Lsv Asset Management | 2024-12-31 | 107.7 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 86.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 80.6 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 71.4 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 62.8 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 48.9 K | Dean C H & Associates Inc | 2024-12-31 | 41.9 K | Guaranty Trust Company Of Missouri | 2024-12-31 | 39.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 828.2 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 731.4 K |
Great Southern Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 343.6M | 153.5M | (548.7M) | 42.8M | (15.6M) | (14.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 37.7M | 79.2M | 46.5M | 73.4M | 39.1M | 42.0M | |
| Depreciation | 12.1M | 11.1M | 9.7M | 9.3M | 9.0M | 6.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.7M | (6.8M) | 2.9M | (17.6M) | (26.7M) | (25.4M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 33.4M | 18.8M | 19.2M | 19.3M | 18.7M | 10.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 8.4M | 5.7M | 20.1M | 7.3M | 4.9M | 9.0M | |
| Net Income | 59.3M | 74.6M | 75.9M | 67.8M | 61.8M | 35.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 563.7M | 717.3M | 168.5M | 211.3M | 195.8M | 188.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 73.6M | 58.0M | 82.2M | 88.4M | 101.7M | 106.8M | |
| Investments | (173.7M) | 193.6M | (653.2M) | (51.4M) | (175.4M) | (166.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | (82K) | 362K | 2.1M | (8.4M) | (7.6M) | (7.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 14.3M | 73.5M | (101.7M) | 127.5M | 114.7M | 109.0M |
Great Southern Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Great Southern or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Great Southern's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Great stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Great Southern Volatility Alert
Great Southern Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.57 and kurtosis of 0.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Great Southern's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Great Southern's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Great Southern Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Great Southern's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Great Southern's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Great Southern and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Great Southern or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Great Southern's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Great Southern by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Great Southern to competition |
| Fundamentals | Great Southern | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0105 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.29 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.35 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.16 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 11.6 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 26.81 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 45.64 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 134.41 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.75 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.08 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.07 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 520 | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 214.29 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 34.22 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 61.81 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 189.01 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 15.44 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 358.26 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.06 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 51.14 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 44.06 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.19 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.26 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.62 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 63.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 882 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.64 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 657.14 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.53 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 603.48 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.42 % |
Note: Disposition of 2500 shares by Kevin Baker of Great Southern at 41.3 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Great Southern Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Great . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Great Southern Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Great Southern Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Great Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Great Southern Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Great Southern. If investors know Great will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Great Southern listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.152 | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 5.26 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Great Southern Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Great that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Great Southern's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Great Southern's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Great Southern's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Great Southern's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Great Southern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great Southern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great Southern's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.