Gemfields (South Africa) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GML Stock   147.00  2.00  1.38%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gemfields Group is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Gemfields buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GML positions.
  
Check out Gemfields Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gemfields and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Gemfields Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Execute Gemfields Buy or Sell Advice

The Gemfields recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gemfields Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gemfields Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gemfields' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell GemfieldsBuy Gemfields
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Gemfields Group has a Mean Deviation of 3.63, Standard Deviation of 5.33 and Variance of 28.41
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Gemfields to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Gemfields Group. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Gemfields Group is not overpriced, please check out all Gemfields fundamentals, including its gross profit, book value per share, and the relationship between the price to sales and net income .

Gemfields Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Gemfields Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gemfields Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Gemfields Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Gemfields' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gemfields' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gemfields daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gemfields Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gemfields returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gemfields.
Mean Return
-0.74
Value At Risk
-10
Potential Upside
8.13
Standard Deviation
5.33
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gemfields historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Gemfields Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gemfields or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gemfields' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gemfields stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.78
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.01
σ
Overall volatility
5.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Gemfields Volatility Alert

Gemfields Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.42 and kurtosis of 2.8. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gemfields' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gemfields' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Gemfields Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Gemfields' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gemfields' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gemfields and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gemfields or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gemfields' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gemfields by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Gemfields to competition
FundamentalsGemfieldsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.21 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.45 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.35 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.18 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders47.51 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions27.97 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.56 X9.51 X
Price To Sales12.85 X11.42 X
Revenue257.71 M9.43 B
Gross Profit145.47 M27.38 B
EBITDA120.43 M3.9 B
Net Income50.73 M570.98 M
Total Debt10 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.41 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations98.12 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.90 X3.12 X
Target Price0.42
Number Of Employees1.59 K18.84 K
Beta0.28-0.15
Market Capitalization3.42 B19.03 B
Total Asset743.78 M29.47 B
Annual Yield0.06 %
Net Asset743.78 M
Last Dividend Paid0.017

Gemfields Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gemfields . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Gemfields Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Gemfields Group? Buying financial instruments such as Gemfields Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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SRI Sustainable Growth
SRI Sustainable Growth Theme
Socially responsible investments that include companies making a positive, sustainable or social impact and exclude those making a negative impact. The SRI Sustainable Growth theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize SRI Sustainable Growth Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Gemfields Stock

Gemfields financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gemfields Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gemfields with respect to the benefits of owning Gemfields security.