Graham Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GHM Stock | USD 43.82 0.19 0.43% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Graham is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Graham's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Graham Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Graham Stock, please use our How to Invest in Graham guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Graham and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Graham. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Graham |
Execute Graham Buy or Sell Advice
The Graham recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Graham. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Graham or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Graham's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Graham Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Graham appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Graham has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Silgan Holdings Stock Price Hits 52-Week High Whats Aiding It |
Graham Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Graham's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Graham's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Graham daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Graham price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Graham returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Graham.
| Mean Return | 0.56 | Value At Risk | -3.94 | Potential Upside | 4.68 | Standard Deviation | 3.26 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Graham historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Graham Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Graham, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Graham back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Essex Investment Management Company, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 190.3 K | Cobblestone Capital Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 187.8 K | G2 Investment Partners Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 182.2 K | Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 172.3 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 139.5 K | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 129.3 K | Kennedy Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 122.5 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 122.3 K | Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 102.3 K | Brandes Investment Partners & Co | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 658.1 K |
Graham Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 2.3M | 5.2M | 3.5M | (9.9M) | (6.2M) | (5.9M) | |
| Change In Cash | 17.9M | 26.6M | (44.8M) | 3.5M | (1.3M) | (1.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.2M) | (3.9M) | (4.5M) | 10.2M | 18.9M | 19.8M | |
| Depreciation | 2.0M | 1.9M | 5.6M | 6.0M | 5.4M | 5.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.2M | 1.3M | (881K) | 3.9M | 1.9M | 2.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.5M | 3.8M | 4.3M | 4.4M | 3.5M | 0.0 | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.4M | 2.2M | 2.3M | 3.7M | 9.2M | 9.7M | |
| Net Income | 1.9M | 2.4M | (8.8M) | 367K | 4.6M | 3.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 33.0M | 59.5M | 14.7M | 18.3M | 16.9M | 13.4M | |
| Investments | 23.3M | 34.5M | 5.5M | (3.7M) | (16.0M) | (15.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | 2.0M | (1.8M) | (2.1M) | 1.5M | 1.7M | 1.8M | |
| Net Borrowings | (51K) | (40K) | 18.2M | (6.1M) | (7.0M) | (6.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 868K | 489K | (4.3M) | 686K | 617.4K | 586.5K |
Graham Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Graham or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Graham's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Graham stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Graham Volatility Alert
Graham currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.13 and Jensen Alpha of 0.23. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Graham's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Graham's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Graham Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Graham's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Graham's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Graham and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Graham or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Graham's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Graham by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Graham to competition |
| Fundamentals | Graham | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0727 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0251 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 457.57 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 10.89 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.70 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 77.80 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 134.05 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 37.13 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.29 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.44 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 185.53 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 9.13 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 11.25 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 4.56 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 18.26 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.22 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 7.77 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.26 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.47 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.33 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 28.12 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.43 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.70 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.77 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 49.83 | |
| Number Of Employees | 595 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.55 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 479.26 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 233.88 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 82 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 8.11 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 931 shares by Christopher Thome of Graham at 29.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Graham Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Graham . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Graham Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Graham? Buying financial instruments such as Graham Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Graham in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Plastics Thematic Idea Now
Plastics
Companies manufacturing rubber and plastics accessories. The Plastics theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Plastics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Graham Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Graham Stock, please use our How to Invest in Graham guide.You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graham. If investors know Graham will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graham listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.81 | Earnings Share 0.7 | Revenue Per Share 18.113 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.188 | Return On Assets 0.0251 |
The market value of Graham is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graham that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graham's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graham's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graham's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graham's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graham's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graham is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graham's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.