Guild Holdings Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GHLD Stock | USD 12.42 0.01 0.08% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Guild Holdings Co is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Guild Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GHLD positions.
Check out Guild Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Guild and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Guild Holdings Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Guild |
Execute Guild Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Guild recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Guild Holdings Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Guild Holdings Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Guild Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Guild Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Guild Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guild Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 663.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 829.86 M. | |
| Guild Holdings Co currently holds about 263.68 M in cash with (91.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.33. | |
| Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Guild Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Guild Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Guild Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Guild Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Guild Holdings Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Guild Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Guild Holdings.
| Mean Return | -0.12 | Value At Risk | -3.88 | Potential Upside | 3.78 | Standard Deviation | 2.23 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Guild Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Guild Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guild Holdings or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guild Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guild stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Guild Holdings Volatility Alert
Guild Holdings Co exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.04 and kurtosis of 1.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Guild Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Guild Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Guild Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Guild Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Guild Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Guild Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Guild Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Guild Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guild Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Guild Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Guild Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0773 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0035 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.11) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.29) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.68 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 21.55 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 52.40 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 27.19 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 12.32 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.09 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.66 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.93 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 663.86 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 829.86 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 59.49 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (39.01 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 263.68 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.33 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 526.78 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.66 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.40 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 18.85 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (91.72 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.26 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.54) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.16) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 15.83 | |
| Number Of Employees | 4.2 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.01 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 768 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.68 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.14 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % |
Note: Acquisition by Lisa Klika of 37716 shares of Guild Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Guild Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guild . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Guild Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Guild Holdings Co? Buying financial instruments such as Guild Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Guild Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Electronic Equipment Thematic Idea Now
Electronic Equipment
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Electronic Equipment theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Electronic Equipment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Guild Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guild Holdings. If investors know Guild will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guild Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Guild Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guild that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guild Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guild Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guild Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guild Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guild Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guild Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guild Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.