Federal Signal Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FSS Stock | USD 77.18 1.87 2.48% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Federal Signal is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Federal Signal given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Federal Signal, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Federal Signal Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Federal Stock please use our How to Invest in Federal Signal guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Federal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Federal Signal. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Federal |
Execute Federal Signal Buy or Sell Advice
The Federal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Federal Signal. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Federal Signal or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Federal Signal's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Federal Signal Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Federal Signal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Could The Market Be Wrong About Federal Signal Corporation Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects |
Federal Signal Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Federal Signal's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Federal Signal's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Federal Signal daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Federal Signal price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Federal Signal returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Federal Signal.
| Mean Return | -0.33 | Value At Risk | -3.3 | Potential Upside | 2.31 | Standard Deviation | 2.18 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Federal Signal historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Federal Stock Institutional Investors
The Federal Signal's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Federal Signal's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Van Berkom And Associates Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 894.1 K | Capital World Investors | 2024-12-31 | 863.8 K | Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 846.3 K | Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc | 2024-12-31 | 813 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 780.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 741.1 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 716.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 9.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 7.2 M |
Federal Signal Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 50.1M | (41.2M) | 7M | 13.5M | 30.1M | 31.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 106.5M | 64.4M | 18.8M | 164.1M | 190.7M | 200.2M | |
| Depreciation | 44.8M | 50.4M | 54.7M | 60.4M | 65.3M | 68.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (6.6M) | 3.3M | (1M) | (5.8M) | (1.1M) | (1.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 29.7M | 37.4M | 53M | 30.3M | 40.6M | 21.4M | |
| Net Income | 96.2M | 100.6M | 120.4M | 157.4M | 216.3M | 227.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 81.7M | 40.5M | 47.5M | 61M | 91.1M | 95.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | 2.5M | (24.2M) | (61M) | 9.8M | (24.1M) | (22.9M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 19.4M | 22M | 21.8M | 23.8M | 29.3M | 14.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 11.6M | 7.4M | 4.1M | 4.6M | 5.3M | 5.6M | |
| Change Receivables | (4.7M) | 8.6M | 2.5M | (38M) | (34.2M) | (32.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 6.4M | (11.8M) | 70.5M | 79.3M | 91.2M | 95.8M | |
| Investments | (34.4M) | (168.7M) | (99.7M) | (125.3M) | (78.9M) | (82.8M) |
Federal Signal Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Federal Signal or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Federal Signal's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Federal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Federal Signal Volatility Alert
Federal Signal exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.25 and kurtosis of 11.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Federal Signal's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Federal Signal's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Federal Signal Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Federal Signal's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Federal Signal's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Federal Signal and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Federal Signal or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Federal Signal's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Federal Signal by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Federal Signal to competition |
| Fundamentals | Federal Signal | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.88 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 61.1 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.65 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.35 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.42 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 31.56 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.98 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.53 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.86 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 533 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 341.7 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 216.3 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 47.5 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.51 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 252.4 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.44 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.67 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.41 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 231.3 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.45 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.50 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.46 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 104.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 4.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.02 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.72 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.77 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.1 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 400.7 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by John Workman of 5000 shares of Federal Signal at 12.69 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Federal Signal Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Federal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Federal Signal Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Federal Signal? Buying financial instruments such as Federal Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Federal Signal in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Impulse
Large corporations operating in retail, broadcasting, energy, airlines and telecom sectors. The Impulse theme has 39 constituents at this time.
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Additional Tools for Federal Stock Analysis
When running Federal Signal's price analysis, check to measure Federal Signal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Signal is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Signal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Signal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Signal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Signal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.