First Industrial Realty Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FR Stock  USD 56.98  0.32  0.56%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding First Industrial Realty is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell First Industrial Realty within the specified time frame.
  
Check out First Industrial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as First and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. First Industrial Realty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute First Industrial Buy or Sell Advice

The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First Industrial Realty. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First Industrial Realty or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First Industrial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell First IndustrialBuy First Industrial
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon First Industrial Realty has a Mean Deviation of 1.02, Semi Deviation of 0.9808, Standard Deviation of 1.32, Variance of 1.74, Downside Variance of 1.2 and Semi Variance of 0.9619
Our advice module provides unbiased investment recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on First Industrial Realty. Our advice engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure First Industrial is not overpriced, please confirm all First Industrial Realty fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, working capital, and the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that First Industrial Realty has a price to earning of 16.87 X, we urge you to verify First Industrial Realty market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

First Industrial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

First Industrial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of January 2025 First Industrial paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thefly.com: First Industrial Realty just upgraded at Goldman Sachs, heres why FR

First Industrial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of First Industrial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First Industrial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First Industrial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First Industrial Realty price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First Industrial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First Industrial.
Mean Return
0.13
Value At Risk
-1.34
Potential Upside
2.36
Standard Deviation
1.32
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First Industrial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

First Stock Institutional Investors

The First Industrial's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase First Industrial's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
2.2 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
1.9 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-12-31
1.9 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-12-31
1.8 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
1.8 M
Rush Island Management, Lp2024-12-31
1.6 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
1.6 M
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-12-31
1.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
19.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
19.2 M
Note, although First Industrial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

First Industrial Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash46.9M(140.9M)86.3M(101.3M)7.8M8.2M
Free Cash Flow80.0M33.9M410.9M304.8M352.5M370.1M
Depreciation137.8M139.1M152.3M164.5M139.2M124.4M
Other Non Cash Items(98.7M)(162.8M)(182.3M)(138.8M)(119.8M)(113.8M)
Dividends Paid127.3M139.7M155.3M(169.4M)(193.5M)(183.8M)
Capital Expenditures254.2M161.1M233.2M827.7M480.6M0.0
Net Income200.2M277.2M381.6M285.8M296.0M310.8M
End Period Cash Flow199.7M58.8M145.1M43.8M51.7M42.8M
Change To Inventory(1.2M)(13.5M)(26.5M)6.8M6.1M5.8M
Investments(251.7M)19.9M(629.1M)(440.5M)(131.6M)(138.2M)
Net Borrowings184.8M111.9M14.6M459.5M528.5M554.9M
Change To Netincome4.6M7.5M9.1M13.3M15.3M16.1M

First Industrial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Industrial or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Industrial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

First Industrial Volatility Alert

First Industrial Realty has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.55 and kurtosis of 1.9. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First Industrial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First Industrial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

First Industrial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing First Industrial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First Industrial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First Industrial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First Industrial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First Industrial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare First Industrial to competition
FundamentalsFirst IndustrialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0329-0.14
Profit Margin0.43 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.42 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.7 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding132.39 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.59 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.63 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.38 M4.71 M
Price To Earning16.87 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.82 X9.51 X
Price To Sales11.47 X11.42 X
Revenue669.64 M9.43 B
Gross Profit487.83 M27.38 B
EBITDA386.73 M3.9 B
Net Income295.99 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents133.24 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.11 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.23 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.81 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.86 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share20.14 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations352.49 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.69 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.18 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.74 X4.89 X
Target Price59.44
Number Of Employees15118.84 K
Beta1.1-0.15
Market Capitalization7.71 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.26 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings219.09 M9.33 B
Working Capital(343.98 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Scott Musil of 75 shares of First Industrial subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

First Industrial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About First Industrial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell First Industrial Realty? Buying financial instruments such as First Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for First Stock Analysis

When running First Industrial's price analysis, check to measure First Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of First Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.