Forth Public (Thailand) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FORTH Stock | THB 11.30 0.30 2.73% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Forth Public is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Forth Public buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FORTH positions.
Check out Forth Public Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Forth and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Forth Public. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Forth |
Execute Forth Public Buy or Sell Advice
The Forth recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Forth Public. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Forth Public or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Forth Public's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Forth Public Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Forth Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Forth Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Forth Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Forth Public has accumulated 198.79 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 117.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Forth Public has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Forth Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Forth Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Forth Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Forth to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Forth Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 63.0% of Forth Public shares are held by company insiders |
Forth Public Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Forth Public's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Forth Public's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Forth Public daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Forth Public price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Forth Public returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Forth Public.
| Mean Return | 0.1 | Value At Risk | -3.62 | Potential Upside | 8.46 | Standard Deviation | 3.47 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Forth Public historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Forth Public Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Forth Public or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Forth Public's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Forth stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Forth Public Volatility Alert
Forth Public currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Forth Public's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Forth Public's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Forth Public Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Forth Public's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Forth Public's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Forth Public and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Forth Public or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Forth Public's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Forth Public by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Forth Public to competition |
| Fundamentals | Forth Public | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.39 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0903 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 35.32 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 935.37 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 63.18 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.74 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 11.04 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 16.48 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.03 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 8.51 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.18 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.68 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 722.76 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 661.68 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.69 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 198.79 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 117.50 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.06 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 734.75 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.86 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 52.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 22 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.17 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 40.22 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 8.82 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 843 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 234 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 3.61 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 3.37 B | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % |
Forth Public Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Forth . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Forth Public Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Forth Public? Buying financial instruments such as Forth Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Other Information on Investing in Forth Stock
Forth Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Forth Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Forth with respect to the benefits of owning Forth Public security.