Flowers Foods Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FLO Stock  USD 19.33  0.03  0.15%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Flowers Foods is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Flowers Foods' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Flowers Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Flowers Stock, please use our How to Invest in Flowers Foods guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Flowers and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Flowers Foods. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Flowers Foods Buy or Sell Advice

The Flowers recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Flowers Foods. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Flowers Foods or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Flowers Foods' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Flowers FoodsBuy Flowers Foods
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Flowers Foods has a Mean Deviation of 0.9572, Standard Deviation of 1.31 and Variance of 1.72
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Flowers Foods and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Flowers Foods is not overpriced, please confirm all Flowers Foods fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Flowers Foods has a price to earning of 41.02 X, we urge you to verify Flowers Foods market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Flowers Foods Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Flowers Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Its Not Just Hot Flashes Flo Study Reveals Early Psychological Impact of Perimenopause

Flowers Foods Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Flowers Foods' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Flowers Foods' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Flowers Foods daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Flowers Foods price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Flowers Foods returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Flowers Foods.
Mean Return
-0.17
Value At Risk
-2.69
Potential Upside
1.73
Standard Deviation
1.31
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Flowers Foods historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Flowers Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Flowers Foods, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flowers Foods back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Wasatch Advisors Lp2024-12-31
2.8 M
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-12-31
2.8 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
2.5 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
2.4 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
2.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
M
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
1.8 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
1.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
22.7 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
18.1 M
Note, although Flowers Foods' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Flowers Foods Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Depreciation141.4M136.6M142.0M151.7M159.2M111.9M
Other Non Cash Items150.1M7.8M14.3M24.5M55.8M58.6M
Capital Expenditures97.9M146.2M169.1M129.1M132.1M88.5M
Net Income152.3M206.2M228.4M123.4M248.1M130.5M
End Period Cash Flow307.5M185.9M165.1M22.5M5.0M4.8M
Change To Inventory(1.8M)(9.8M)(37.4M)(15.2M)8.2M8.6M
Change In Cash296.4M(121.6M)(20.7M)(142.6M)(17.5M)(16.6M)
Free Cash Flow356.5M198.4M191.8M220.3M280.6M172.5M
Dividends Paid167.3M175.9M186.5M(195.2M)(203.0M)(192.9M)
Investments21.5M(191.4M)27.0M(398.4M)(172.7M)(164.0M)
Change Receivables(7.8M)(25.0M)(10.6M)(55.4M)(49.9M)(47.4M)
Net Borrowings(111.1M)95.4M(83.6M)517K465.3K442.0K
Change To Netincome67.4M128.7M35.9M31.8M36.6M19.9M

Flowers Foods Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Flowers Foods or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Flowers Foods' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Flowers stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Flowers Foods Volatility Alert

Flowers Foods exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.83 and kurtosis of 1.83. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Flowers Foods' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Flowers Foods' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Flowers Foods Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Flowers Foods' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Flowers Foods' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Flowers Foods and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Flowers Foods or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Flowers Foods' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flowers Foods by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Flowers Foods to competition
FundamentalsFlowers FoodsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0695-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.43 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding210.84 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.97 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions74.40 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted8.67 M4.71 M
Price To Earning41.02 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.89 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.80 X11.42 X
Revenue5.1 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.53 B27.38 B
EBITDA525.28 M3.9 B
Net Income248.12 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents165.13 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.77 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.6 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.83 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.45 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.73 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations412.66 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.43 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.15 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth14.76 X4.89 X
Target Price20.75
Number Of Employees10.2 K18.84 K
Beta0.37-0.15
Market Capitalization4.08 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.4 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings977.55 M9.33 B
Working Capital107.76 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Chaffin John Mark of 11640 shares of Flowers Foods subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Flowers Foods Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Flowers . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Flowers Foods Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Flowers Foods? Buying financial instruments such as Flowers Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Flowers Foods in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Cars Theme
Domestic and international companies involved in manufacturing and serving automobiles and trucks. The Cars theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cars Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Flowers Foods offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Flowers Foods' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Flowers Foods Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Flowers Foods Stock:
Check out Flowers Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Flowers Stock, please use our How to Invest in Flowers Foods guide.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flowers Foods. If investors know Flowers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Flowers Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.2
Dividend Share
0.95
Earnings Share
1.15
Revenue Per Share
24.185
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.088
The market value of Flowers Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flowers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flowers Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flowers Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flowers Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flowers Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flowers Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flowers Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flowers Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.