Comfort Systems Usa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FIX Stock | USD 341.13 13.88 4.24% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Comfort Systems USA is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Comfort Systems USA given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Comfort Systems USA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Comfort Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Comfort and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Comfort Systems USA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
Comfort |
Execute Comfort Systems Buy or Sell Advice
The Comfort recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Comfort Systems USA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Comfort Systems USA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Comfort Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Comfort Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Comfort Systems USA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Comfort Systems USA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Comfort Systems USA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Victory Capital Management Inc. Sells 22,632 Shares of Comfort Systems USA, Inc. - Defense World |
Comfort Systems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Comfort Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Comfort Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Comfort Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Comfort Systems USA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Comfort Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Comfort Systems.
| Mean Return | -0.46 | Value At Risk | -6.52 | Potential Upside | 5.05 | Standard Deviation | 4.46 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Comfort Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Comfort Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Comfort Systems, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comfort Systems USA back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Federated Hermes Inc | 2024-12-31 | 467.8 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 463.8 K | Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 462.6 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-12-31 | 380.9 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 367.8 K | Vaughan Nelson Scarbrgh & Mccullough Lp | 2024-12-31 | 363.9 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 329.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 314.8 K | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 305.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.8 M |
Comfort Systems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (1.5M) | (5.7M) | (13.5M) | (29.7M) | 6.5M | 6.9M | |
| Change In Cash | 4.1M | 3.9M | (1.6M) | 147.9M | 344.8M | 362.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 262.4M | 157.8M | 253.2M | 544.7M | 738.0M | 774.9M | |
| Depreciation | 60.6M | 68.9M | 81.3M | 81.6M | 97.3M | 102.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 11.9M | 7.3M | 28.2M | 52.9M | 279.3M | 293.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 15.5M | 17.4M | 20.1M | 30.4M | 42.8M | 44.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 24.1M | 22.3M | 48.4M | 94.8M | 111.1M | 116.6M | |
| Net Income | 150.1M | 143.3M | 245.9M | 323.4M | 522.4M | 548.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 54.9M | 58.8M | 57.2M | 205.2M | 549.9M | 577.4M | |
| Investments | (207.8M) | (246.7M) | (2.5M) | (133.5M) | (343.5M) | (326.3M) | |
| Change Receivables | (49.5M) | 38.5M | (58.0M) | (223.2M) | (200.9M) | (190.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 122.8M | (19.5M) | 119.3M | (139.6M) | (160.5M) | (152.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 5.9M | (6.3M) | 6.7M | (78.1M) | (70.3M) | (66.7M) |
Comfort Systems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Comfort Systems or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Comfort Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Comfort stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Comfort Systems Volatility Alert
Comfort Systems USA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.84 and kurtosis of 15.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Comfort Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Comfort Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Comfort Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Comfort Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Comfort Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Comfort Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Comfort Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Comfort Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Comfort Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Comfort Systems to competition |
| Fundamentals | Comfort Systems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.35 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 11.89 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 35.55 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.51 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.81 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.03 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 29.01 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 7.11 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.73 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 7.03 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.48 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 817.1 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 522.43 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 57.21 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.00 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 308.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.54 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.30 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 48.04 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 849.06 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.65 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 14.60 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.06 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 493.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 18.3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.24 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 12.13 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.71 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.63 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 207.47 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 3279 shares by William George of Comfort Systems at 494.86 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Comfort Systems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Comfort . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0291 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.381095 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 340.03 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 340.39 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 10.05 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 8.04 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 13.88 |
About Comfort Systems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Comfort Systems USA? Buying financial instruments such as Comfort Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Comfort Stock Analysis
When running Comfort Systems' price analysis, check to measure Comfort Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comfort Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Comfort Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comfort Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comfort Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comfort Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.