First Hawaiian Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FHB Stock  USD 24.66  0.51  2.11%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding First Hawaiian is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides First Hawaiian buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FHB positions.
  
Check out First Hawaiian Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as First and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards First Hawaiian. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute First Hawaiian Buy or Sell Advice

The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First Hawaiian. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First Hawaiian or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First Hawaiian's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell First HawaiianBuy First Hawaiian
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon First Hawaiian has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), Jensen Alpha of (0.04), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0505 and Treynor Ratio of (0.16)
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on First Hawaiian. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure First Hawaiian is not overpriced, please confirm all First Hawaiian fundamentals, including its price to book, ebitda, total debt, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash and equivalents . Given that First Hawaiian has a price to earning of 16.64 X, we urge you to verify First Hawaiian market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

First Hawaiian Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

First Hawaiian generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Hawaiian has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: First Hawaiian files for mixed securities shelf

First Hawaiian Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of First Hawaiian's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First Hawaiian's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First Hawaiian daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First Hawaiian price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First Hawaiian returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First Hawaiian.
Mean Return
-0.13
Value At Risk
-2.9
Potential Upside
2.23
Standard Deviation
1.51
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First Hawaiian historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

First Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
2.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
2.1 M
Wells Fargo & Co2024-12-31
M
Reinhart Mahoney Capital Management Inc2024-12-31
M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2024-12-31
M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
1.8 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
1.7 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
1.4 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
1.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
16.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
14.3 M
Note, although First Hawaiian's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

First Hawaiian Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash346.9M217.5M(731.8M)1.2B(569.7M)(541.2M)
Free Cash Flow176.1M396.7M417.3M239.0M317.5M322.5M
Depreciation63.1M51.8M56.7M42.8M38.0M45.5M
Other Non Cash Items102.5M(30.1M)3.8M20.9M37.9M36.0M
Dividends Paid135.1M134.1M132.6M132.6M132.8M227.2M
Capital Expenditures33.4M20.5M13.3M16.0M28.8M25.4M
Net Income185.8M265.7M265.7M235.0M230.1M219.4M
End Period Cash Flow1.0B1.3B526.6M1.7B1.2B1.2B
Investments(3.3B)(4.8B)(924.8M)157.4M548.6M576.0M
Net Borrowings(10K)(400.0M)(200.0M)75M67.5M64.1M
Change To Netincome41.5M93.2M(1.4M)33.5M38.6M28.2M

First Hawaiian Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Hawaiian or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Hawaiian's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
1.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

First Hawaiian Volatility Alert

First Hawaiian exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.74 and kurtosis of 2.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First Hawaiian's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First Hawaiian's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

First Hawaiian Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing First Hawaiian's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First Hawaiian's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First Hawaiian and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First Hawaiian or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First Hawaiian's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Hawaiian by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare First Hawaiian to competition
FundamentalsFirst HawaiianPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0902-0.31
Return On Asset0.0094-0.14
Profit Margin0.29 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.36 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.26 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding126.2 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions99.34 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.29 M4.71 M
Price To Earning16.64 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.19 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.92 X11.42 X
Revenue980.04 M9.43 B
Gross Profit793.79 M27.38 B
EBITDA(24.18 M)3.9 B
Net Income230.13 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.54 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share12.09 X5.01 X
Total Debt250 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity6.07 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share20.70 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations317.51 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.51 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.79 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.05 X4.89 X
Target Price28.75
Number Of Employees2 K18.84 K
Beta0.93-0.15
Market Capitalization3.11 B19.03 B
Total Asset23.83 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings934.05 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return4.00 %
Net Asset23.83 B
Note: Disposition of 112 shares by Alan Arizumi of First Hawaiian at 26.91 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

First Hawaiian Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About First Hawaiian Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell First Hawaiian? Buying financial instruments such as First Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having First Hawaiian in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Wholesale Thematic Idea Now

Wholesale
Wholesale Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Wholesale theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Wholesale Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether First Hawaiian offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Hawaiian's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Hawaiian Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Hawaiian Stock:
Check out First Hawaiian Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Hawaiian. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Hawaiian listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.109
Dividend Share
1.04
Earnings Share
1.79
Revenue Per Share
6.216
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of First Hawaiian is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Hawaiian's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Hawaiian's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Hawaiian's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Hawaiian's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Hawaiian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Hawaiian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Hawaiian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.