4d Molecular Therapeutics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FDMT Stock  USD 4.11  0.17  3.97%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding 4D Molecular Therapeutics is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell 4D Molecular Therapeutics given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for 4D Molecular Therapeutics, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out 4D Molecular Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as FDMT and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. 4D Molecular Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute 4D Molecular Buy or Sell Advice

The FDMT recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on 4D Molecular Therapeutics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in 4D Molecular Therapeutics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute 4D Molecular's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell 4D MolecularBuy 4D Molecular
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon 4D Molecular Therapeutics has a Mean Deviation of 3.97, Standard Deviation of 5.18 and Variance of 26.8
We provide trade recommendation to complement the latest expert consensus on 4D Molecular Therapeutics. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at this moment. To make sure 4D Molecular Therapeutics is not overpriced, please confirm all 4D Molecular Therapeutics fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, total debt, market capitalization, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that 4D Molecular Therapeutics has a price to book of 0.37 X, we suggest you to validate 4D Molecular market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself this quarter and beyond given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

4D Molecular Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

4D Molecular generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
4D Molecular has high historical volatility and very poor performance
4D Molecular has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 37 K. Net Loss for the year was (160.87 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (141.26 M).
4D Molecular Therapeutics currently holds about 241.09 M in cash with (134.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.45, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
4D Molecular has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 11653 shares by Kirn David of 4D Molecular at 14.42 subject to Rule 16b-3

4D Molecular Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of 4D Molecular's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of 4D Molecular's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of 4D Molecular daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use 4D Molecular Therapeutics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of 4D Molecular returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for 4D Molecular.
Mean Return
-0.74
Value At Risk
-8.61
Potential Upside
7.08
Standard Deviation
5.18
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of 4D Molecular historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

FDMT Stock Institutional Investors

The 4D Molecular's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase 4D Molecular's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Redmile Group, Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Casdin Capital, Llc2024-12-31
1.1 M
State Street Corp2024-12-31
1.1 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-12-31
820.1 K
Arrowmark Colorado Holdings, Llc (arrowmark Partners)2024-12-31
794.6 K
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2024-12-31
653.5 K
Deep Track Capital, Lp2024-12-31
609.9 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-12-31
605.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
4.9 M
Ra Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
4.6 M
Note, although 4D Molecular's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

4D Molecular Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory175K2.9M(591K)(4.5M)(4.1M)(3.9M)
Investments(1M)(163.6M)(5.5M)86.6M(302.4M)(287.3M)
Change In Cash227.1M(123.7M)(100.7M)196.8M(99.8M)(94.8M)
Free Cash Flow(51.9M)(78.2M)(98.2M)(78.6M)(134.6M)(127.9M)
Depreciation1.4M3.0M3.9M5.7M6.7M7.0M
Other Non Cash Items48K898K1.1M(999K)(7.1M)(6.7M)
Capital Expenditures1M9.1M11.5M2.8M3.8M4.5M
Net Income(56.7M)(71.3M)(107.5M)(100.8M)(160.9M)(152.8M)
End Period Cash Flow276.7M153.0M52.4M249.1M149.3M143.8M
Change To Netincome8.7M5.1M14.7M17.1M19.7M20.7M

4D Molecular Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to 4D Molecular or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that 4D Molecular's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FDMT stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.66
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.83
σ
Overall volatility
5.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

4D Molecular Volatility Alert

4D Molecular Therapeutics exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.21 and kurtosis of 0.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure 4D Molecular's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact 4D Molecular's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

4D Molecular Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing 4D Molecular's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze 4D Molecular's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between 4D Molecular and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as 4D Molecular or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of 4D Molecular's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 4D Molecular by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare 4D Molecular to competition
Fundamentals4D MolecularPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.39-0.31
Return On Asset-0.26-0.14
Current Valuation(209.51 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding46.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.91 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.09 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.17 M4.71 M
Price To Book0.37 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5,143 X11.42 X
Revenue37 K9.43 B
Gross Profit(141.26 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(187.84 M)3.9 B
Net Income(160.87 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents241.09 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.45 X5.01 X
Total Debt24.61 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.06 %48.70 %
Current Ratio17.20 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.15 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(134.59 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio5.58 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.98) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.07) X4.89 X
Target Price33.82
Beta2.82-0.15
Market Capitalization190.3 M19.03 B
Total Asset560.38 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(576.2 M)9.33 B
Working Capital405.78 M1.48 B
Net Asset560.38 M
Note: Disposition of 11653 shares by Kirn David of 4D Molecular at 14.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

4D Molecular Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FDMT . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About 4D Molecular Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell 4D Molecular Therapeutics? Buying financial instruments such as FDMT Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having 4D Molecular in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Investing
Investing Theme
Companies involved in money management and investment banking services. The Investing theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Investing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for FDMT Stock Analysis

When running 4D Molecular's price analysis, check to measure 4D Molecular's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 4D Molecular is operating at the current time. Most of 4D Molecular's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 4D Molecular's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 4D Molecular's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 4D Molecular to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.