FAP Agri (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FAPA Stock  IDR 5,350  25.00  0.47%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding FAP Agri Tbk is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of FAP Agri's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out FAP Agri Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as FAP and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. FAP Agri Tbk. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute FAP Agri Buy or Sell Advice

The FAP recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on FAP Agri Tbk. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in FAP Agri Tbk or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute FAP Agri's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell FAP AgriBuy FAP Agri
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Ignores market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon FAP Agri Tbk has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0416, Jensen Alpha of 0.0142, Total Risk Alpha of (0.03), Sortino Ratio of (0.21) and Treynor Ratio of (0.52)
Macroaxis provides advice on FAP Agri Tbk to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on FAP Agri Tbk. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure FAP Agri is not overpriced, please confirm all FAP Agri Tbk fundamentals, including its price to book, revenue, ebitda, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and gross profit .

FAP Agri Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

FAP Agri Tbk has accumulated 3.77 T in total debt. FAP Agri Tbk has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FAP Agri until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FAP Agri's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FAP Agri Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FAP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FAP Agri's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

FAP Agri Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of FAP Agri's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of FAP Agri's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of FAP Agri daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use FAP Agri Tbk price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of FAP Agri returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for FAP Agri.
Mean Return
0.02
Value At Risk
-0.47
Potential Upside
0.47
Standard Deviation
0.27
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of FAP Agri historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

FAP Agri Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FAP Agri or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FAP Agri's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FAP stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.39

FAP Agri Volatility Alert

FAP Agri Tbk exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of 0.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FAP Agri's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FAP Agri's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

FAP Agri Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing FAP Agri's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze FAP Agri's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between FAP Agri and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as FAP Agri or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of FAP Agri's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FAP Agri by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare FAP Agri to competition
FundamentalsFAP AgriPeer Average
Return On Equity0.25-0.31
Return On Asset0.0984-0.14
Profit Margin0.17 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.28 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.97 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.63 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders8.00 %10.09 %
Price To Book4.39 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.35 X11.42 X
Revenue3.39 T9.43 B
Gross Profit1.03 T27.38 B
EBITDA708.87 B3.9 B
Net Income384.44 B570.98 M
Total Debt3.77 T5.32 B
Current Ratio0.82 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share976.50 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations965.64 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share217.27 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees11.77 K18.84 K
Beta-0.0127-0.15
Market Capitalization15.57 T19.03 B
Total Asset7.93 T29.47 B
Z Score2.48.72
Net Asset7.93 T

FAP Agri Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FAP . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About FAP Agri Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell FAP Agri Tbk? Buying financial instruments such as FAP Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in FAP Stock

FAP Agri financial ratios help investors to determine whether FAP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FAP with respect to the benefits of owning FAP Agri security.