Etsy Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ETSY Stock | USD 45.65 1.25 2.82% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Etsy Inc is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Etsy Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Etsy Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Etsy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Etsy and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Etsy Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Etsy |
Execute Etsy Buy or Sell Advice
The Etsy recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Etsy Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Etsy Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Etsy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Etsy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Etsy Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Should You Buy Etsy Stock on the Dip |
Etsy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Etsy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Etsy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Etsy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Etsy Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Etsy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Etsy.
| Mean Return | -0.31 | Value At Risk | -4.65 | Potential Upside | 4.38 | Standard Deviation | 2.73 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Etsy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Etsy Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Etsy, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Etsy Inc back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Nomura Holdings Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.8 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.9 M | Bares Capital Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.9 M | Harris Associates L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Davenport & Company Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 1.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 15.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 12.3 M |
Etsy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 800.8M | (463.9M) | 141.1M | (12.3M) | (103.1M) | (98.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 671.8M | 623.4M | 652.9M | 665.6M | 738.3M | 775.2M | |
| Depreciation | 58.2M | 74.3M | 96.7M | 91.3M | 108.1M | 113.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 80.0M | 8.9M | 1.1B | 95.9M | (7.0M) | (6.7M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 7.1M | 28.2M | 30.7M | 39.9M | 14.2M | 23.5M | |
| Net Income | 349.2M | 493.5M | (694.3M) | 307.6M | 303.3M | 318.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.2B | 785.5M | 926.6M | 914.3M | 811.2M | 543.0M | |
| Investments | (3.4M) | 172.1M | (30.0M) | (73.3M) | (53.1M) | (55.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 638.1M | 502.3M | 947.2M | (69K) | (79.4K) | (75.4K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 51.0M | 144.6M | 56.2M | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.5B | |
| Change Receivables | (12.7M) | (22.5M) | (19.3M) | (14.1M) | (12.7M) | (13.3M) |
Etsy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Etsy or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Etsy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Etsy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Etsy Volatility Alert
Etsy Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.7 and kurtosis of 2.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Etsy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Etsy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Etsy Implied Volatility
Etsy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Etsy Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Etsy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Etsy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Etsy's options are near their expiration.
Etsy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Etsy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Etsy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Etsy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Etsy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Etsy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Etsy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Etsy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Etsy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -12.24 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0931 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.24 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 107.07 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.04 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.96 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 20.03 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 44.71 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 21.42 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.74 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.81 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.03 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 532.65 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 303.28 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.01 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 7.95 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.39 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 4.11 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.93 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (6.99) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 752.47 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.10 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.35 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.09 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 58.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.4 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.23 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.89 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.42 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.78 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 662.58 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Silverman Josh of 9054 shares of Etsy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Etsy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Etsy . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Etsy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Etsy Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Etsy Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Etsy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Construction Materials Thematic Idea Now
Construction Materials
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Construction Materials theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Construction Materials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Etsy Stock Analysis
When running Etsy's price analysis, check to measure Etsy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Etsy is operating at the current time. Most of Etsy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Etsy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Etsy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Etsy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.