Manufatura (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ESTR4 Preferred Stock  BRL 4.00  0.02  0.50%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Manufatura de Brinquedos is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Manufatura de Brinquedos given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Manufatura de Brinquedos, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Manufatura Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Manufatura and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Manufatura de Brinquedos. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Manufatura Buy or Sell Advice

The Manufatura recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Manufatura de Brinquedos. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Manufatura de Brinquedos or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Manufatura's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ManufaturaBuy Manufatura
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Manufatura de Brinquedos has a Mean Deviation of 3.15, Semi Deviation of 4.38, Standard Deviation of 6.75, Variance of 45.62, Downside Variance of 57.19 and Semi Variance of 19.18
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Manufatura de Brinquedos. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Manufatura de Brinquedos is not overpriced, please verify all Manufatura de Brinquedos fundamentals, including its price to earning, ebitda, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash and equivalents .

Manufatura Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Manufatura had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Manufatura has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.15, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Manufatura until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Manufatura's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Manufatura de Brinquedos sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Manufatura to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Manufatura's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Manufatura de Brinquedos reported the revenue of 154.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61.21 M.
Manufatura de Brinquedos has accumulated about 849 K in cash with (22.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.4.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Manufatura Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Manufatura's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Manufatura's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Manufatura daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Manufatura de Brinquedos price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Manufatura returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Manufatura.
Mean Return
0.28
Value At Risk
-8.58
Potential Upside
7.35
Standard Deviation
6.75
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Manufatura historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Manufatura Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Manufatura or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Manufatura's price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Manufatura preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
7.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Manufatura Volatility Alert

Manufatura de Brinquedos is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Manufatura's preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Manufatura's preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Manufatura Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Manufatura's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Manufatura's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Manufatura and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Manufatura or determine the preferred stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Manufatura's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Manufatura by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Manufatura to competition
FundamentalsManufaturaPeer Average
Return On Asset0.0549-0.14
Profit Margin(0.23) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.15 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation131.53 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding538.9 K571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders15.77 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions60.53 %39.21 %
Price To Earning(0.15) X28.72 X
Price To Sales0.13 X11.42 X
Revenue154.93 M9.43 B
Gross Profit61.21 M27.38 B
EBITDA14.23 M3.9 B
Net Income(28.45 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents849 K2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.40 X5.01 X
Current Ratio0.15 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(605.44) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(22.89 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(41.84) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees418.84 K
Beta-0.23-0.15
Market Capitalization21.55 M19.03 B
Total Asset291.16 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(415 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(351 M)1.48 B
Current Asset122 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities473 M7.9 B
Z Score-2.68.72
Net Asset291.16 M

Manufatura Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Manufatura . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Manufatura Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Manufatura de Brinquedos? Buying financial instruments such as Manufatura Preferred Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Manufatura Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Manufatura's price analysis, check to measure Manufatura's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manufatura is operating at the current time. Most of Manufatura's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manufatura's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manufatura's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manufatura to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.