New Oriental Education Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| EDU Stock | USD 47.61 0.99 2.04% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding New Oriental Education is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell New Oriental Education given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for New Oriental Education, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out New Oriental Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as New and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. New Oriental Education. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
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Execute New Oriental Buy or Sell Advice
The New recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on New Oriental Education. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in New Oriental Education or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute New Oriental's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
New Oriental Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| New Oriental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| New Oriental has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| New Oriental is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
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New Oriental Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of New Oriental's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of New Oriental's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of New Oriental daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use New Oriental Education price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of New Oriental returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for New Oriental.
| Mean Return | -0.15 | Value At Risk | -4.18 | Potential Upside | 4.59 | Standard Deviation | 4.15 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of New Oriental historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
New Stock Institutional Investors
The New Oriental's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase New Oriental's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 1.4 M | Alkeon Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | Greenwoods Asset Management Hong Kong Ltd. | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Fidelity International Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Cederberg Capital Limited | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Carrhae Capital Llp | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Oceanlink Management Ltd. | 2024-12-31 | 923.3 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 872.5 K | Aspex Management (hk) Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 7.5 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 5.4 M |
New Oriental Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 3.8M | 1.8M | (21.9M) | (41.2M) | (37.1M) | (35.2M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 10.3M | 19.7M | 7.8M | 12.9M | 11.6M | 11.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 436.3M | 150.7M | 143.0M | 283.4M | 325.9M | 342.2M | |
| Net Income | 230.0M | (1.2B) | 235.4M | 325.2M | 374.0M | 392.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.6B | 1.2B | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.8B | 1.9B | |
| Change To Netincome | 48.6M | 35.8M | (92.7M) | 132.9M | 152.8M | 160.4M | |
| Change In Cash | 712.7M | (437.6M) | 610.9M | (216.3M) | (248.8M) | (236.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 693.7M | (1.4B) | 828.0M | 839.3M | 965.1M | 1.0B | |
| Depreciation | 230.4M | 194.4M | 122.7M | 106.8M | 122.8M | 76.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 116.5M | 676.8M | 16.8M | 70.5M | 81.1M | 59.0M | |
| Investments | (1.8B) | 1.2B | (37.4M) | (1.2B) | (1.0B) | (986.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 20M | 177.1M | (222.0M) | (48.8M) | (43.9M) | (41.7M) |
New Oriental Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to New Oriental or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that New Oriental's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a New stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
New Oriental Volatility Alert
New Oriental Education exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.42 and kurtosis of 14.5. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure New Oriental's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact New Oriental's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.New Oriental Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing New Oriental's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze New Oriental's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between New Oriental and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as New Oriental or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of New Oriental's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing New Oriental by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare New Oriental to competition |
| Fundamentals | New Oriental | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0964 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0369 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.3 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 163.53 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.08 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 46.29 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 9.18 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 113.17 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.31 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.72 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.31 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.55 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 457.25 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 325.22 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.66 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 24.99 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 662.33 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.59 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 22.71 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.12 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.04 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.30 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.82 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 67.36 | |
| Number Of Employees | 67.94 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.42 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 8.29 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.53 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.51 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.39 B | 1.48 B |
New Oriental Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as New . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 90534.15 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.57) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 48.36 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 48.11 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.24) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.99) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.04 |
About New Oriental Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell New Oriental Education? Buying financial instruments such as New Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis
When running New Oriental's price analysis, check to measure New Oriental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Oriental is operating at the current time. Most of New Oriental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Oriental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Oriental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Oriental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.