Dynex Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DX Stock  USD 12.47  0.05  0.40%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Dynex Capital is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Dynex Capital given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Dynex Capital. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Dynex Capital, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Dynex Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Dynex Stock please use our How to Invest in Dynex Capital guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Dynex and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Dynex Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.

Execute Dynex Capital Buy or Sell Advice

The Dynex recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Dynex Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Dynex Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Dynex Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Dynex CapitalBuy Dynex Capital
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Dynex Capital has a Mean Deviation of 0.7396, Semi Deviation of 1.04, Standard Deviation of 0.9302, Variance of 0.8652, Downside Variance of 1.31 and Semi Variance of 1.09
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Dynex Capital and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Dynex Capital is not overpriced, please confirm all Dynex Capital fundamentals, including its book value per share, retained earnings, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Dynex Capital has a price to book of 0.96 X, we urge you to verify Dynex Capital market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Dynex Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Dynex Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Dynex Capital reports 5.38 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.03, which implies that the company may not be able to produce enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments. Dynex Capital has a current ratio of 0.28, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Dynex to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (6.13 M) with gross profit of 177 M.
Dynex Capital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 1st of November 2024 Dynex Capital paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Dynex Capital Stock A Tactical Play In Motion - Seeking Alpha

Dynex Capital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Dynex Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Dynex Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Dynex Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Dynex Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Dynex Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Dynex Capital.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-1.47
Potential Upside
1.38
Standard Deviation
0.93
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Dynex Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Dynex Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Dynex Capital, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dynex Capital back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
881.2 K
Mesirow Institutional Investment Management, Inc.2024-09-30
820.9 K
Van Eck Associates Corporation2024-06-30
719.2 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
650 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
626.3 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
610.1 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
542.8 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
490.9 K
Peregrine Capital Management,llc2024-09-30
472.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
6.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
4.1 M
Note, although Dynex Capital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Dynex Capital Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash45.5M168.4M111.6M28.6M(212.0M)(201.4M)
Free Cash Flow175.3M174.0M147.0M126.4M62.2M91.1M
Other Non Cash Items56K(9.4M)44.9M(35.8M)40.0M42.0M
Dividends Paid68.0M52.4M58.9M72.4M93.0M97.7M
Net Income(152.7M)177.5M102.3M143.2M(6.1M)(5.8M)
End Period Cash Flow134.2M302.7M421.3M449.9M237.9M135.2M
Depreciation1.7M2.0M2.3M2.4M2.3M2.2M
Change To Netincome188.2M174.1M47.4M(31.4M)(36.1M)(34.3M)
Investments(1.6B)2.3B(637.9M)(65.4M)(2.2B)(2.1B)
Change Receivables(1.2M)(5.2M)11.8M204K234.6K246.3K
Net Borrowings1.5B(2.3B)412.6M(205.5M)(185.0M)(175.7M)

Dynex Capital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dynex Capital or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dynex Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dynex stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Dynex Capital Volatility Alert

Dynex Capital has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.66 and kurtosis of 0.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dynex Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dynex Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Dynex Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Dynex Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Dynex Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Dynex Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Dynex Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Dynex Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dynex Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Dynex Capital to competition
FundamentalsDynex CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0895-0.31
Return On Asset0.0126-0.14
Profit Margin0.71 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.78 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.25 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding79.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions34.76 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.58 M4.71 M
Price To Earning0.81 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.96 X9.51 X
Price To Sales8.00 X11.42 X
Revenue(40.24 M)9.43 B
Gross Profit177 M27.38 B
EBITDA(73.11 M)3.9 B
Net Income(6.13 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents332.04 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.92 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.38 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.29 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.05 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations62.2 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.59 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.26 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(1.31) X4.89 X
Target Price13.67
Number Of Employees2218.84 K
Beta1.32-0.15
Market Capitalization984.95 M19.03 B
Total Asset6.37 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(483.61 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(2.99 B)1.48 B
Current Asset133.39 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 15207 shares by Byron Boston of Dynex Capital at 12.47 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Dynex Capital Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dynex . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Dynex Capital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Dynex Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Dynex Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cancer Fighters Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Dynex Stock Analysis

When running Dynex Capital's price analysis, check to measure Dynex Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dynex Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Dynex Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dynex Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dynex Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dynex Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.