Dow Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DOW Stock  USD 36.97  0.74  2.04%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Dow Inc is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Dow Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Dow Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Dow Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Dow and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Dow Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Dow Buy or Sell Advice

The Dow recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Dow Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Dow Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Dow's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell DowBuy Dow
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Dow Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), Jensen Alpha of (0.09), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0837 and Treynor Ratio of (0.28)
Dow advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts reviewing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Dow is not overpriced, please confirm all Dow Inc fundamentals, including its ebitda, target price, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and working capital . Given that Dow Inc has a price to earning of 19.47 X, we urge you to verify Dow Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Dow Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Dow Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dow Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Dow Inc. Ascends While Market Falls Some Facts to Note

Dow Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Dow's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Dow's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Dow daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Dow Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Dow returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Dow.
Mean Return
-0.15
Value At Risk
-2.61
Potential Upside
2.71
Standard Deviation
1.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Dow historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Dow Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Dow, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dow Inc back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
7.1 M
Capital World Investors2024-12-31
7.1 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-12-31
6.2 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
5.8 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
5.4 M
Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main2024-12-31
5.2 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
5.1 M
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co2024-12-31
4.8 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
4.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
82.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
48.6 M
Note, although Dow's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Dow Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory515M(1.8B)347M844M(529M)(502.6M)
Investments(841M)(556M)(3.0B)(3.5B)(2.4B)(2.2B)
Change In Cash2.7B(2.1B)853M(953M)(785M)(745.8M)
Net Borrowings(3.0B)(412M)(2.7B)900M810M850.5M
Depreciation2.9B2.8B2.8B2.6B2.9B3.1B
Dividends Paid2.1B2.1B2.0B2.0B2.0B2.1B
Capital Expenditures1.4B2.3B2.1B2.5B3.1B2.1B
Net Income1.3B6.4B4.6B660M1.2B2.2B
Change To Netincome4.0B935M(697M)921M1.1B1.1B
Other Non Cash Items1.0B927M784M2.1B305M289.8M
End Period Cash Flow5.1B3.0B3.9B3.0B2.3B3.5B
Free Cash Flow4.8B4.7B5.4B2.7B(151M)(143.5M)

Dow Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dow or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dow's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dow stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
1.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Dow Volatility Alert

Dow Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.18 and kurtosis of 2.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dow's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dow's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Dow Implied Volatility

Dow's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dow Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dow's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dow stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dow's options are near their expiration.

Dow Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Dow's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Dow's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Dow and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Dow or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Dow's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dow by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Dow to competition
FundamentalsDowPeer Average
Return On Equity0.065-0.31
Return On Asset0.0243-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation41.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding705.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.21 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions67.95 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted20.06 M4.71 M
Price To Earning19.47 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.47 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.61 X11.42 X
Revenue42.96 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.68 B27.38 B
EBITDA5.3 B3.9 B
Net Income1.2 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.89 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.64 X5.01 X
Total Debt17.64 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.79 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.61 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share24.67 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.91 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.53 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.57 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.40 X4.89 X
Target Price45.18
Number Of Employees36 K18.84 K
Beta1.16-0.15
Market Capitalization26.09 B19.03 B
Total Asset57.31 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings20.91 B9.33 B
Working Capital6.3 B1.48 B
Note: Discretionary transaction by Lange Philo Brendy of tradable shares of Dow subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Dow Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dow . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Dow Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Dow Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Dow Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Dow in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Management Thematic Idea Now

Management
Management Theme
Companies providing management services to businesses. The Management theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Management Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Dow Stock Analysis

When running Dow's price analysis, check to measure Dow's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dow is operating at the current time. Most of Dow's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dow's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dow's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dow to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.