Dream Finders Homes Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DFH Stock | USD 33.27 0.07 0.21% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Dream Finders Homes is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Dream Finders' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Dream Finders Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Dream and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Dream Finders Homes. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Dream |
Execute Dream Finders Buy or Sell Advice
The Dream recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Dream Finders Homes. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Dream Finders Homes or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Dream Finders' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Dream Finders Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Dream Finders Homes had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: The Zacks Analyst Blog Dream Finders, Taylor Morrison, KB Home and Lennar |
Dream Finders Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Dream Finders' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Dream Finders' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Dream Finders daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Dream Finders Homes price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Dream Finders returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Dream Finders.
| Mean Return | 0.07 | Value At Risk | -4.21 | Potential Upside | 5.24 | Standard Deviation | 3.16 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Dream Finders historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Dream Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 327.6 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-06-30 | 304.4 K | Qube Research & Technologies | 2024-06-30 | 282.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 264.2 K | Wasatch Advisors Lp | 2024-09-30 | 240.4 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 226.7 K | Hennessy Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 220.6 K | Axiom Investors | 2024-09-30 | 185.7 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 184.3 K | Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 4.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.5 M |
Dream Finders Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (30.9M) | 23.5M | (80.2M) | (311.5M) | (31.6M) | (33.2M) | |
| Investments | (17.8M) | 6.5M | (523.0M) | 149K | (5.5M) | (5.8M) | |
| Change In Cash | 32.1M | 16.5M | 187.9M | 113.8M | 153.3M | 91.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | 28.8M | (29.6M) | 439.2M | 197.4M | 227.0M | 141.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 20.9M | 92.4M | 62.3M | (33.2M) | 369.5M | 387.9M | |
| Depreciation | 6.0M | 7.9M | 9.9M | 17.1M | 17.9M | 11.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.6M) | 3.5M | 13.2M | 12.4M | 32.9M | 34.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 8.3M | 17.3M | 23.3M | 13.7M | 13.2M | 16.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.9M | 2.9M | 2.8M | 5.5M | 4.8M | 3.9M | |
| Net Income | 44.9M | 84.5M | 134.6M | 274.3M | 307.9M | 159.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 68.7M | 85.2M | 281.3M | 395.1M | 548.5M | 575.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 12.3M | 24.7M | 8.3M | 17.4M | 20.0M | 15.5M |
Dream Finders Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dream Finders or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dream Finders' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dream stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Dream Finders Volatility Alert
Dream Finders Homes currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of -0.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dream Finders' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dream Finders' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Dream Finders Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Dream Finders' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Dream Finders' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Dream Finders and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Dream Finders or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Dream Finders' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dream Finders by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Dream Finders to competition |
| Fundamentals | Dream Finders | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.28 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0907 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.54 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 34.25 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 19.45 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 78.68 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.28 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.73 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.79 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.77 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.75 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 627.2 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 445.87 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 307.94 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 364.53 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.91 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 845.42 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.39 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 7.02 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 11.93 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 374.23 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 11.39 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.02 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.11 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 31.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.24 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.93 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.12 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.56 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 648.41 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 975.12 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 10230 shares by Lovett William Radford Ii of Dream Finders at 35.3 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Dream Finders Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dream . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Dream Finders Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Dream Finders Homes? Buying financial instruments such as Dream Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Dream Finders in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Dream Finders Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dream Finders. If investors know Dream will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dream Finders listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | Earnings Share 3.02 | Revenue Per Share 43.169 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 | Return On Assets 0.0907 |
The market value of Dream Finders Homes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dream that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dream Finders' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dream Finders' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dream Finders' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dream Finders' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dream Finders' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dream Finders is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dream Finders' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.