Journey Medical Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DERM Stock  USD 6.11  0.19  3.21%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Journey Medical Corp is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Journey Medical's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Journey Medical Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Journey and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Journey Medical Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Journey Medical Buy or Sell Advice

The Journey recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Journey Medical Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Journey Medical Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Journey Medical's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

30  Days

Risk Tolerance

I am an educated risk taker
Execute Advice
Sell Journey MedicalBuy Journey Medical
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Journey Medical Corp has a Mean Deviation of 3.37, Semi Deviation of 3.33, Standard Deviation of 4.46, Variance of 19.87, Downside Variance of 12.35 and Semi Variance of 11.11
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Journey Medical. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Journey Medical Corp is not overpriced, please check out all Journey Medical fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, current asset, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and beta . Given that Journey Medical Corp has a number of shares shorted of 94.09 K, we strongly advise you to confirm Journey Medical Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Journey Medical Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Journey Medical Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 56.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 35.26 M.
Journey Medical Corp currently holds about 38.14 M in cash with (9.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.17.
Journey Medical Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Journey Medical Announces Earnings Results

Journey Medical Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Journey Medical's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Journey Medical's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Journey Medical daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Journey Medical Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Journey Medical returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Journey Medical.
Mean Return
0.50
Value At Risk
-5.25
Potential Upside
8.05
Standard Deviation
4.46
   Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-24.25-18.11-11.97-5.830.05.7111.7318.0724.4130.75VARUpside 0.0050.0100.0150.020
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GOOGLE
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Journey Medical historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Journey Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Journey Medical, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Journey Medical Corp back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Atria Investments Llc2024-12-31
43.4 K
Gladstone Institutional Advisory Llc2024-12-31
30 K
State Street Corp2024-12-31
29 K
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2024-12-31
28.5 K
Kovitz Investment Group Partners, Llc2024-12-31
24.7 K
Brighton Jones Llc2024-12-31
23 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
22.4 K
Org Wealth Partners, Llc2024-12-31
20.9 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
20.5 K
Tang Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
1.7 M
Cambridge Invest Research Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
328.1 K
Note, although Journey Medical's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Journey Medical Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(547K)(8.5M)1.7M4.0M(4.2M)(4.4M)
Change In Cash3.4M40.8M(17.1M)(4.6M)(7.1M)(6.8M)
Free Cash Flow3.9M(12.2M)(33.5M)240K(9.1M)(9.6M)
Depreciation1.5M2.6M4.4M3.9M3.7M3.9M
Other Non Cash Items747K20.5M1.1M4.3M(4.3M)(4.1M)
Capital Expenditures1.2M10M20M5M15M15.8M
Net Income5.3M(44.0M)(29.6M)(3.9M)(14.7M)(15.4M)
End Period Cash Flow8.2M49.1M32.0M27.4M20.3M19.3M
Investments(1.2M)(10M)(20M)(5M)(15M)(14.3M)

Journey Medical Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Journey Medical or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Journey Medical's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Journey stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.10
σ
Overall volatility
4.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Journey Medical Volatility Alert

Journey Medical Corp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Journey Medical's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Journey Medical's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Journey Medical Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Journey Medical's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Journey Medical's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Journey Medical and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Journey Medical or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Journey Medical's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Journey Medical by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Journey Medical to competition
FundamentalsJourney MedicalPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.73-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0816-0.14
Profit Margin(0.26) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.42 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation121.03 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.89 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders27.65 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions23.49 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted94.09 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(9.50) X28.72 X
Price To Book11.32 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.27 X11.42 X
Revenue56.13 M9.43 B
Gross Profit35.26 M27.38 B
EBITDA(13.68 M)3.9 B
Net Income(14.67 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents38.14 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.17 X5.01 X
Total Debt201 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.61 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.40 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.04 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(9.13 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.92) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.04) X4.89 X
Target Price9.88
Beta0.98-0.15
Market Capitalization127.64 M19.03 B
Total Asset80.24 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(87.03 M)9.33 B
Working Capital13 M1.48 B
Current Asset217.23 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Smith Justin Adam of 30000 shares of Journey Medical at 3.47 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Journey Medical Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Journey . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Journey Medical Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Journey Medical Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Journey Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Journey Medical in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Sector ETFs theme has 446 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sector ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Journey Medical Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Journey Medical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Journey Medical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Journey Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Journey Medical Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Journey Medical. If investors know Journey will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Journey Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.92)
Revenue Per Share
2.747
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.73)
The market value of Journey Medical Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Journey that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Journey Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Journey Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Journey Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Journey Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Journey Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Journey Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Journey Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.