Chicago Rivet Machine Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CVR Stock  USD 14.41  0.49  3.29%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Chicago Rivet Machine is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Chicago Rivet Machine within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Chicago Rivet Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Chicago and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Chicago Rivet Machine. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Execute Chicago Rivet Buy or Sell Advice

The Chicago recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Chicago Rivet Machine. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Chicago Rivet Machine or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Chicago Rivet's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Chicago RivetBuy Chicago Rivet
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Chicago Rivet Machine has a Mean Deviation of 1.73, Standard Deviation of 2.52 and Variance of 6.36
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Chicago Rivet Machine and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Chicago Rivet is not overpriced, please confirm all Chicago Rivet Machine fundamentals, including its total debt, total asset, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Chicago Rivet Machine has a price to earning of 514.04 X, we suggest you to validate Chicago Rivet Machine market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Chicago Rivet Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Chicago Rivet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 31.51 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.82 M.
Chicago Rivet Machine has about 4.05 M in cash with (1.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.73.
Chicago Rivet has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Cavalier Resources Reaches AU9.8m Market Cap Benefiting Insider Stock Buying

Chicago Rivet Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Chicago Rivet's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Chicago Rivet's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Chicago Rivet daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Chicago Rivet Machine price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Chicago Rivet returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Chicago Rivet.
Mean Return
-0.17
Value At Risk
-4.24
Potential Upside
4.11
Standard Deviation
2.52
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Chicago Rivet historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Chicago Rivet Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash1.1M(530.8K)2.0M(2.7M)(2.4M)(2.3M)
Free Cash Flow(200.3K)(1.7M)(2.2M)(3.0M)(2.7M)(2.6M)
Depreciation1.3M1.3M1.3M1.3M1.5M1.3M
Other Non Cash Items(981.2K)21.6K(4.7M)(50.4K)(58.0K)(60.9K)
Capital Expenditures824.1K670.9K969.9K1.1M1.2M1.2M
Net Income50.5K1.1M2.9M(4.4M)(4.0M)(3.8M)
End Period Cash Flow2.6M2.0M4.0M1.4M1.2M1.8M
Change To Inventory(202.1K)(3.4M)(601.5K)1.8M1.6M1.7M
Dividends Paid1.1M502.4K850.2K618.3K556.5K691.0K
Change To Netincome21.8K68K(63.4K)(4.7M)(4.2M)(4.0M)
Investments1.0M2.0M4.1M(108.1K)(97.3K)(92.4K)

Chicago Rivet Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Chicago Rivet or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Chicago Rivet's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Chicago stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
2.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Chicago Rivet Volatility Alert

Chicago Rivet Machine exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.05 and kurtosis of 1.98. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Chicago Rivet's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Chicago Rivet's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Chicago Rivet Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Chicago Rivet's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Chicago Rivet's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Chicago Rivet and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Chicago Rivet or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Chicago Rivet's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chicago Rivet by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Chicago Rivet to competition
FundamentalsChicago RivetPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.11-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0878-0.14
Profit Margin(0.10) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation11.76 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding966.13 K571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders24.60 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions19.17 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.52 K4.71 M
Price To Earning514.04 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.59 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.47 X11.42 X
Revenue31.51 M9.43 B
Gross Profit3.82 M27.38 B
EBITDA(4.56 M)3.9 B
Net Income(4.4 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.05 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.73 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.86 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.12 %48.70 %
Current Ratio8.18 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share26.88 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(1.93 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio3.38 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(3.75) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees20718.84 K
Beta0.19-0.15
Market Capitalization17.38 M19.03 B
Total Asset27.83 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings28.3 M9.33 B
Working Capital13.98 M1.48 B
Current Asset18 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.31 M7.9 B
Note: Discretionary transaction by Morrissey James W of tradable shares of Chicago Rivet subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Chicago Rivet Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Chicago . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Chicago Rivet Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Chicago Rivet Machine? Buying financial instruments such as Chicago Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Global Macro ETFs Theme
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Additional Tools for Chicago Stock Analysis

When running Chicago Rivet's price analysis, check to measure Chicago Rivet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chicago Rivet is operating at the current time. Most of Chicago Rivet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chicago Rivet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chicago Rivet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chicago Rivet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.