Cosan Sa Adr Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CSAN Stock  USD 5.28  0.35  7.10%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cosan SA ADR is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Cosan SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Cosan SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cosan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cosan SA ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Cosan SA Buy or Sell Advice

The Cosan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cosan SA ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cosan SA ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cosan SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cosan SABuy Cosan SA
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Cosan SA ADR has a Mean Deviation of 2.88, Standard Deviation of 3.64 and Variance of 13.25
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Cosan SA ADR. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Cosan SA is not overpriced, please confirm all Cosan SA ADR fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and earnings per share . Given that Cosan SA ADR has a price to earning of 5.61 X, we suggest you to validate Cosan SA ADR market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Cosan SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cosan SA ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cosan SA ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cosan SA ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Cosan S.A. Among the Stocks Under 10 With High Upside Potential

Cosan SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cosan SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cosan SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cosan SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cosan SA ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cosan SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cosan SA.
Mean Return
-0.18
Value At Risk
-6.28
Potential Upside
6.31
Standard Deviation
3.64
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cosan SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cosan Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Cosan SA, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cosan SA ADR back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
364.7 K
Bizma Investimentos Ltda2024-12-31
271.9 K
Walleye Trading Advisors, Llc2024-12-31
258.9 K
Btg Pactual Asset Management Us, Llc2024-12-31
247.7 K
Trexquant Investment Lp2024-12-31
215.8 K
Creative Planning Inc2024-12-31
205.9 K
Ghisallo Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
200 K
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-12-31
193.7 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
145.4 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
4.3 M
Itau Unibanco Holding Sa2024-12-31
1.5 M
Note, although Cosan SA's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cosan SA Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(113.1M)(243.6M)(423.4M)(83.2M)(74.8M)(78.6M)
Change In Cash(1.5B)11.6B(2.9B)1.4B1.4B958.0M
Free Cash Flow1.1B1.2B5.4B2.9B4.0B4.2B
Depreciation623.1M2.2B3.0B3.4B3.9B4.1B
Other Non Cash Items1.4B(1.3B)3.9B13.5B4.1B4.3B
Capital Expenditures1.1B4.1B4.5B6.3B7.2B7.6B
Net Income1.2B5.9B2.7B1.0B5.1B5.4B
End Period Cash Flow4.6B16.2B13.3B14.7B14.7B15.4B
Dividends Paid765.0M1.8B1.9B2.6B(2.6B)(2.5B)
Investments(1.2B)677.4M(20.6B)(14.8B)(13.4B)(12.7B)
Net Borrowings2.9B(319.4M)2.4B4.8B5.5B5.8B
Change To Netincome(171.0M)1.7B(2.0B)6.2B7.2B7.5B

Cosan SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cosan SA or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cosan SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cosan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
3.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Cosan SA Volatility Alert

Cosan SA ADR exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of -0.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cosan SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cosan SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cosan SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cosan SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cosan SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cosan SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cosan SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cosan SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cosan SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cosan SA to competition
FundamentalsCosan SAPeer Average
Return On Equity0.089-0.31
Return On Asset0.0397-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.22 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation11.35 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding464.66 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions3.72 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.22 M4.71 M
Price To Earning5.61 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.31 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.06 X11.42 X
Revenue39.47 B9.43 B
Gross Profit12.74 B27.38 B
EBITDA14.12 B3.9 B
Net Income5.11 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents16.65 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share35.64 X5.01 X
Total Debt62.18 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.56 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.97 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share21.12 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations10.28 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.78 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(3.56) X3.12 X
Target Price10.92
Beta1.09-0.15
Market Capitalization2.45 B19.03 B
Total Asset139.87 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings9.49 B9.33 B
Working Capital12.45 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.07 %
Net Asset139.87 B

Cosan SA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cosan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cosan SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cosan SA ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Cosan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cosan SA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Chemicals Thematic Idea Now

Chemicals
Chemicals Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Chemicals theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Chemicals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Cosan SA ADR offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cosan SA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cosan Sa Adr Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cosan Sa Adr Stock:
Check out Cosan SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cosan SA. If investors know Cosan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cosan SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.57)
Earnings Share
(3.56)
Revenue Per Share
89.46
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.131
Return On Assets
0.0397
The market value of Cosan SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cosan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cosan SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cosan SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cosan SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cosan SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cosan SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cosan SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cosan SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.