Cosan Sa Adr Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CSAN Stock | USD 5.28 0.35 7.10% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cosan SA ADR is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Cosan SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Cosan SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cosan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cosan SA ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Cosan |
Execute Cosan SA Buy or Sell Advice
The Cosan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cosan SA ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cosan SA ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cosan SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Cosan SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Cosan SA ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cosan SA ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cosan SA ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Cosan S.A. Among the Stocks Under 10 With High Upside Potential |
Cosan SA Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Cosan SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cosan SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cosan SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cosan SA ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cosan SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cosan SA.
| Mean Return | -0.18 | Value At Risk | -6.28 | Potential Upside | 6.31 | Standard Deviation | 3.64 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cosan SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Cosan Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Cosan SA, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cosan SA ADR back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 364.7 K | Bizma Investimentos Ltda | 2024-12-31 | 271.9 K | Walleye Trading Advisors, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 258.9 K | Btg Pactual Asset Management Us, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 247.7 K | Trexquant Investment Lp | 2024-12-31 | 215.8 K | Creative Planning Inc | 2024-12-31 | 205.9 K | Ghisallo Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 200 K | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 193.7 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 145.4 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-12-31 | 4.3 M | Itau Unibanco Holding Sa | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M |
Cosan SA Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (113.1M) | (243.6M) | (423.4M) | (83.2M) | (74.8M) | (78.6M) | |
| Change In Cash | (1.5B) | 11.6B | (2.9B) | 1.4B | 1.4B | 958.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.1B | 1.2B | 5.4B | 2.9B | 4.0B | 4.2B | |
| Depreciation | 623.1M | 2.2B | 3.0B | 3.4B | 3.9B | 4.1B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.4B | (1.3B) | 3.9B | 13.5B | 4.1B | 4.3B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.1B | 4.1B | 4.5B | 6.3B | 7.2B | 7.6B | |
| Net Income | 1.2B | 5.9B | 2.7B | 1.0B | 5.1B | 5.4B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 4.6B | 16.2B | 13.3B | 14.7B | 14.7B | 15.4B | |
| Dividends Paid | 765.0M | 1.8B | 1.9B | 2.6B | (2.6B) | (2.5B) | |
| Investments | (1.2B) | 677.4M | (20.6B) | (14.8B) | (13.4B) | (12.7B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 2.9B | (319.4M) | 2.4B | 4.8B | 5.5B | 5.8B | |
| Change To Netincome | (171.0M) | 1.7B | (2.0B) | 6.2B | 7.2B | 7.5B |
Cosan SA Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cosan SA or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cosan SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cosan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Cosan SA Volatility Alert
Cosan SA ADR exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of -0.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cosan SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cosan SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Cosan SA Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Cosan SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cosan SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cosan SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cosan SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cosan SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cosan SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Cosan SA to competition |
| Fundamentals | Cosan SA | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.089 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0397 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.22 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 11.35 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 464.66 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 3.72 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.22 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.61 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.31 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.06 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 39.47 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 12.74 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 14.12 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 5.11 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 16.65 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 35.64 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 62.18 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.56 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.97 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 21.12 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 10.28 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.78 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (3.56) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 10.92 | |
| Beta | 1.09 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.45 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 139.87 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 9.49 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 12.45 B | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.07 % | |
| Net Asset | 139.87 B |
Cosan SA Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cosan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Cosan SA Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Cosan SA ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Cosan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Cosan SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cosan SA. If investors know Cosan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cosan SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Earnings Share (3.56) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.131 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Cosan SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cosan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cosan SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cosan SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cosan SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cosan SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cosan SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cosan SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cosan SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.