Cresud SA (Argentina) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CRES Stock  ARS 1,345  60.00  4.67%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cresud SA is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Cresud SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CRES positions.
  
Check out Cresud SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cresud and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cresud SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Cresud SA Buy or Sell Advice

The Cresud recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cresud SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cresud SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cresud SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cresud SABuy Cresud SA
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Cresud SA has a Mean Deviation of 2.13, Standard Deviation of 2.68 and Variance of 7.18
Macroaxis provides advice on Cresud SA to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Cresud SA. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Cresud SA is not overpriced, please confirm all Cresud SA fundamentals, including its profit margin, current valuation, shares owned by insiders, as well as the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Cresud SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cresud SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cresud SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Cresud SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cresud SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cresud SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cresud SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cresud SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cresud SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cresud SA.
Mean Return
-0.09
Value At Risk
-4.18
Potential Upside
4.53
Standard Deviation
2.68
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cresud SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cresud SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cresud SA or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cresud SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cresud stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
2.69
Ir
Information ratio 0

Cresud SA Volatility Alert

Cresud SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.05 and kurtosis of -0.41. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cresud SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cresud SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cresud SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cresud SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cresud SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cresud SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cresud SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cresud SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cresud SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cresud SA to competition
FundamentalsCresud SAPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0364-0.31
Return On Asset-4.0E-4-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation226.71 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding581.12 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders36.47 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions9.20 %39.21 %
Price To Earning3.25 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.13 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.22 X11.42 X
Revenue95.85 B9.43 B
Gross Profit25.21 B27.38 B
EBITDA83.83 B3.9 B
Net Income37.09 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents103.32 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share209.51 X5.01 X
Total Debt46.16 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity321.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.69 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share212.89 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations21.81 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share52.98 X3.12 X
Target Price398.0
Number Of Employees1918.84 K
Beta1.53-0.15
Market Capitalization154.14 B19.03 B
Total Asset529.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(816 M)9.33 B
Working Capital6.81 B1.48 B
Current Asset54.03 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities47.21 B7.9 B
Z Score1.88.72

Cresud SA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cresud . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cresud SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cresud SA? Buying financial instruments such as Cresud Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Cresud Stock

Cresud SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cresud Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cresud with respect to the benefits of owning Cresud SA security.