Coty Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| COTY Stock | USD 7.41 0.12 1.59% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Coty Inc is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Coty Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Coty. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Coty Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Coty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Coty and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Coty Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
Coty |
Execute Coty Buy or Sell Advice
The Coty recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Coty Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Coty Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Coty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Coty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Coty Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Coty Inc currently holds 4.26 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Coty Inc has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Coty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Coty Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 61.0% of Coty shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Coty Hits New 12-Month Low Whats Next |
Coty Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Coty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Coty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Coty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Coty Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Coty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Coty.
| Mean Return | -0.37 | Value At Risk | -2.62 | Potential Upside | 2.87 | Standard Deviation | 2.28 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Coty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Coty Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Coty, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coty Inc back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main | 2024-09-30 | 6.8 M | Thrivent Financial For Lutherans | 2024-09-30 | 6.5 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 6.2 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 6.1 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 5.7 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 4.2 M | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2024-06-30 | 4.1 M | Vaughan Nelson Scarbrgh & Mccullough Lp | 2024-06-30 | 4 M | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 3.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 41.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 35.6 M |
Coty Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 124.4M | 81.2M | (48.3M) | (180.3M) | 67.2M | 70.6M | |
| Change In Cash | (28.4M) | (41.6M) | (46.6M) | 20M | 36.8M | 38.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (318.3M) | 144.8M | 552.5M | 402.9M | 369.4M | 211.9M | |
| Depreciation | 716.5M | 585.3M | 516.4M | 426.7M | 421.1M | 463.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 593M | 358.6M | (390.7M) | (430.9M) | 207.6M | 197.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 267.4M | 173.9M | 174.1M | 222.8M | 245.2M | 264.1M | |
| Net Income | (1.0B) | (205.1M) | 267.7M | 523.2M | 89.4M | 93.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 352M | 310.4M | 263.8M | 283.8M | 320.6M | 385.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 196.9M | 25.7M | 57.2M | 13.7M | 13.4M | 12.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 175.6M | 170.4M | 138.7M | 23.7M | 27.3M | 25.9M | |
| Change Receivables | 424.5M | 10.5M | (77.2M) | 36.8M | 42.3M | 28.7M | |
| Net Borrowings | 432M | (3.0B) | (760.7M) | (268.2M) | (241.4M) | (229.3M) | |
| Investments | (833.4M) | 248M | 230.6M | (118.2M) | (226.2M) | (237.5M) |
Coty Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Coty or Personal Care Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Coty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Coty stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Coty Volatility Alert
Coty Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.14 and kurtosis of 5.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Coty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Coty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Coty Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Coty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Coty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Coty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Coty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Coty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Coty to competition |
| Fundamentals | Coty | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0441 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0297 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.63 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 869.9 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 60.63 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 38.30 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 11.72 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 84.22 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.62 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.05 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.12 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.55 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 89.4 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 240.9 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.29 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.26 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.35 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.66 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.66 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 614.6 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.22 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.18 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.24 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 10.32 | |
| Number Of Employees | 11.79 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.91 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.45 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.08 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (4.9 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (638.3 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 5334 shares by Ayesha Zafar of Coty subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Coty Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Coty . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Coty Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Coty Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Coty Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Coty in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Candy and Soda Thematic Idea Now
Candy and Soda
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Candy and Soda theme has 13 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Candy and Soda Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Additional Tools for Coty Stock Analysis
When running Coty's price analysis, check to measure Coty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coty is operating at the current time. Most of Coty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.