Composecure Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CMPOW Stock  USD 3.25  0.60  15.58%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding CompoSecure is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell CompoSecure given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for CompoSecure, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out CompoSecure Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy CompoSecure Stock please use our How to Invest in CompoSecure guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as CompoSecure and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. CompoSecure. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute CompoSecure Buy or Sell Advice

The CompoSecure recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CompoSecure. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CompoSecure or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CompoSecure's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CompoSecureBuy CompoSecure
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon CompoSecure has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), Jensen Alpha of 0.0233, Total Risk Alpha of 0.7023 and Treynor Ratio of (0.12)
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on CompoSecure. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure CompoSecure is not overpriced, please confirm all CompoSecure fundamentals, including its revenue, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the Current Ratio and retained earnings . Given that CompoSecure has a total debt of 17.25 M, we suggest you to validate CompoSecure market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

CompoSecure Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

CompoSecure generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CompoSecure has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CompoSecure has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 420.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (83.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 219.23 M.
CompoSecure has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: CompoSecure Shares Gap Down Following Analyst Downgrade - Defense World

CompoSecure Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of CompoSecure's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CompoSecure's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CompoSecure daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CompoSecure price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CompoSecure returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for CompoSecure.
Mean Return
-0.26
Value At Risk
-10.84
Potential Upside
9.93
Standard Deviation
6.40
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CompoSecure historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

CompoSecure Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(12.9M)3.7M(18.2M)(9.0M)(294K)(308.7K)
Investments(7.5M)(4.7M)(9.1M)(8.5M)(9.9M)(10.4M)
Change In Cash(13.3M)8.5M(8.3M)27.6M36.2M38.1M
Free Cash Flow79.6M73M83.7M93.4M122.1M86.9M
Depreciation9.9M10.4M8.6M8.4M9.2M9.8M
Other Non Cash Items842K(10.5M)(38.5M)71.5M172.8M181.5M
Dividends Paid216.7M218M36.3M38.4M(8.9M)(8.5M)
Capital Expenditures7.5M4.8M9.1M10.9M7.4M6.7M
Net Income77.8M83.4M131.8M19.2M(83.2M)(79.0M)
End Period Cash Flow13.4M21.9M13.6M41.2M77.5M81.3M

CompoSecure Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CompoSecure or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CompoSecure's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CompoSecure stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.34
σ
Overall volatility
7.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

CompoSecure Volatility Alert

CompoSecure is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CompoSecure's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CompoSecure's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

CompoSecure Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing CompoSecure's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CompoSecure's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CompoSecure and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CompoSecure or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CompoSecure's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CompoSecure by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare CompoSecure to competition
FundamentalsCompoSecurePeer Average
Return On Asset0.2-0.14
Profit Margin(0.13) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.15 %(5.51) %
Number Of Shares Shorted16.91 K4.71 M
Revenue420.57 M9.43 B
Gross Profit219.23 M27.38 B
EBITDA(51.62 M)3.9 B
Net Income(83.16 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents12.24 M2.7 B
Total Debt17.25 M5.32 B
Current Ratio1.69 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(1.43) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations129.55 M971.22 M
Number Of Employees1 K18.84 K
Beta0.81-0.15
Total Asset473.92 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(507.38 M)9.33 B
Working Capital97.58 M1.48 B
Net Asset473.92 M
Note: Disposition of 181315 shares by Roman Dbdr Tech Sponsor Llc of CompoSecure at 11.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

CompoSecure Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CompoSecure . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About CompoSecure Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell CompoSecure? Buying financial instruments such as CompoSecure Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having CompoSecure in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Utilities ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Utilities ETFs
Utilities ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Utilities ETFs theme has 13 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Utilities ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for CompoSecure Stock Analysis

When running CompoSecure's price analysis, check to measure CompoSecure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CompoSecure is operating at the current time. Most of CompoSecure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CompoSecure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CompoSecure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CompoSecure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.