Cardlytics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CDLX Stock  USD 2.47  0.40  19.32%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cardlytics is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cardlytics given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cardlytics, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Cardlytics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Cardlytics Stock please use our How to Invest in Cardlytics guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cardlytics and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cardlytics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Cardlytics Buy or Sell Advice

The Cardlytics recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cardlytics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cardlytics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cardlytics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CardlyticsBuy Cardlytics
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Cardlytics has a Mean Deviation of 4.46, Standard Deviation of 5.73 and Variance of 32.78
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Cardlytics. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Cardlytics is not overpriced, please confirm all Cardlytics fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Please also double-check Cardlytics price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Cardlytics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cardlytics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cardlytics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cardlytics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Cardlytics currently holds 221.65 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.42, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cardlytics has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cardlytics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 278.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (189.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 120.89 M.
Cardlytics currently holds about 157.04 M in cash with (8.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Cardlytics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 58.0% of Cardlytics shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: CDLX INVESTORS Contact Robbins LLP for Information About the Lead Plaintiff Deadline in the Class Action Against Cardlytics, Inc.

Cardlytics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cardlytics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cardlytics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cardlytics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cardlytics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cardlytics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cardlytics.
Mean Return
-0.55
Value At Risk
-9.12
Potential Upside
7.75
Standard Deviation
5.73
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cardlytics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cardlytics Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Cardlytics, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cardlytics back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
498.1 K
Citigroup Inc2024-12-31
477.3 K
Ubs O'connor Llc2024-12-31
450 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
403.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
402.6 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
389.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
373.8 K
Landscape Capital Management,llc2024-12-31
339.2 K
Pb Investment Partners, L.p.2024-12-31
338.2 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
3.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
2.7 M
Note, although Cardlytics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cardlytics Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash188.8M(59.8M)(111.6M)(30.2M)(26.2M)(24.9M)
Net Borrowings(46.8M)196.2M(200K)(209K)(240.4K)(228.3K)
Free Cash Flow(17.7M)(51.1M)(67.4M)(12.6M)(8.8M)(9.3M)
Depreciation11.6M35.7M43.7M29.5M27.9M18.2M
Other Non Cash Items6.4M18.7M335.7M77.5M112.2M66.7M
Capital Expenditures11.0M10.1M12.6M13.5M12.4M0.0
Net Income(55.4M)(128.6M)(465.3M)(134.7M)(189.3M)(179.8M)
End Period Cash Flow293.3M233.6M122.0M91.8M65.6M114.7M
Change To Netincome16.5M32.6M46.8M377.3M433.9M455.6M
Investments(10.1M)(506.7M)(15.8M)(10.1M)(9.1M)(9.5M)
Change Receivables(26.0M)(2.4M)(27.9M)(4.5M)(5.2M)(5.5M)

Cardlytics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cardlytics or Media sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cardlytics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cardlytics stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.95
σ
Overall volatility
5.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Cardlytics Volatility Alert

Cardlytics exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.5 and kurtosis of 1.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cardlytics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cardlytics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cardlytics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cardlytics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cardlytics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cardlytics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cardlytics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cardlytics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cardlytics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cardlytics to competition
FundamentalsCardlyticsPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.85-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0821-0.14
Profit Margin(0.68) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.11) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation262.75 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding52.09 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.12 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions57.67 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted8.33 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(3.47) X28.72 X
Price To Book1.55 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.46 X11.42 X
Revenue278.3 M9.43 B
Gross Profit120.89 M27.38 B
EBITDA25.69 M3.9 B
Net Income(189.3 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents157.04 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.77 X5.01 X
Total Debt221.65 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.42 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.90 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.37 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(8.82 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio10.59 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(6.40) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.24) X4.89 X
Target Price3.3
Number Of Employees45418.84 K
Beta1.63-0.15
Market Capitalization128.65 M19.03 B
Total Asset392.71 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.3 B)9.33 B
Working Capital52.78 M1.48 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Cardlytics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cardlytics . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cardlytics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cardlytics? Buying financial instruments such as Cardlytics Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cardlytics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Impulse Thematic Idea Now

Impulse
Impulse Theme
Large corporations operating in retail, broadcasting, energy, airlines and telecom sectors. The Impulse theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Impulse Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Cardlytics Stock Analysis

When running Cardlytics' price analysis, check to measure Cardlytics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cardlytics is operating at the current time. Most of Cardlytics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cardlytics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cardlytics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cardlytics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.