Avis Budget Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CAR Stock | USD 61.95 6.46 11.64% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Avis Budget Group is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Avis Budget Group within the specified time frame.
Check out Avis Budget Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Avis and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Avis Budget Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Avis |
Execute Avis Budget Buy or Sell Advice
The Avis recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Avis Budget Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Avis Budget Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Avis Budget's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Avis Budget Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Avis Budget Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avis Budget Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Avis Budget Group has 7.88 B in debt. Avis Budget Group has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Avis to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 11.79 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.82 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.02 B. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: San Jose City Workers Unite to Protect Public Services, With Plans to Address the Mayors Budget Message on March 18 |
Avis Budget Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Avis Budget's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Avis Budget's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Avis Budget daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Avis Budget Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Avis Budget returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Avis Budget.
| Mean Return | -0.69 | Value At Risk | -6.82 | Potential Upside | 4.31 | Standard Deviation | 3.72 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Avis Budget historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Avis Stock Institutional Investors
The Avis Budget's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Avis Budget's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | International Assets Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 481 K | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-12-31 | 379.8 K | Ing Groep Nv | 2024-12-31 | 325 K | Steadfast Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 319.4 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 315 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 304 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 298.7 K | Jefferies Financial Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 253.2 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 227.8 K | Srs Investment Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 17.1 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.1 M |
Avis Budget Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (135M) | (139M) | 16M | 2M | (47M) | (44.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.9B | (2.6B) | 576M | (11.6B) | 3.3B | 3.5B | |
| Depreciation | 2.6B | 2.5B | 2.8B | 3.5B | 3.8B | 1.9B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (813M) | (923M) | (814M) | (608M) | 2.4B | 2.6B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.3B | 6.1B | 4.1B | 15.5B | 202M | 191.9M | |
| Net Income | (684M) | 1.3B | 2.8B | 1.6B | (1.8B) | (1.7B) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 765M | 626M | 642M | 644M | 597M | 613.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | (74M) | (298M) | 1.9B | 713M | 820.0M | 860.9M | |
| Investments | 3.2B | (6.3B) | (4.3B) | (7.7B) | (2.8B) | (2.9B) | |
| Change Receivables | 10M | 115M | (143M) | (97M) | (87.3M) | (82.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 251M | (26M) | 4.4B | (8M) | (9.2M) | (8.7M) |
Avis Budget Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Avis Budget or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Avis Budget's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Avis stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Avis Budget Volatility Alert
Avis Budget Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.09 and kurtosis of 2.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Avis Budget's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Avis Budget's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Avis Budget Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Avis Budget's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Avis Budget's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Avis Budget and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Avis Budget or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Avis Budget's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Avis Budget by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Avis Budget to competition |
| Fundamentals | Avis Budget | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -2.73 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0263 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.15) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 27.46 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 35.11 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.96 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.11 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.81 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 4.30 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 7.14 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.18 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 11.79 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.02 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (2.04 B) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (1.82 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 579 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 12.05 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 7.88 B | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.76 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (66.30) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.52 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.01 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (51.23) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.76 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 113.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 17 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.37 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.18 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 9.67 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.03 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (686 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.63 B | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 12571 shares by Brian Choi of Avis Budget at 111.96 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Avis Budget Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Avis . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Avis Budget Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Avis Budget Group? Buying financial instruments such as Avis Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Avis Stock Analysis
When running Avis Budget's price analysis, check to measure Avis Budget's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avis Budget is operating at the current time. Most of Avis Budget's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avis Budget's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avis Budget's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avis Budget to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.