Burford Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BUR Stock  USD 13.24  0.20  1.49%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Burford Capital is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Burford Capital within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Burford Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Burford Stock, please use our How to Invest in Burford Capital guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Burford and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Burford Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Burford Capital Buy or Sell Advice

The Burford recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Burford Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Burford Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Burford Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Burford CapitalBuy Burford Capital
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Burford Capital has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.019, Jensen Alpha of 0.189, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3534, Sortino Ratio of 0.0615 and Treynor Ratio of 0.018
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Burford Capital and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Burford Capital is not overpriced, please confirm all Burford Capital fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, current asset, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and beta . Given that Burford Capital has a price to book of 1.20 X, we suggest you to validate Burford Capital market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Burford Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Burford Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Burford Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Burford Capital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: HM Payson Co. Invests 119,000 in Burford Capital Limited

Burford Capital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Burford Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Burford Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Burford Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Burford Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Burford Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Burford Capital.
Mean Return
0.03
Value At Risk
-3.71
Potential Upside
3.27
Standard Deviation
2.17
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Burford Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Burford Stock Institutional Investors

The Burford Capital's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Burford Capital's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Keller Group Invmt Management Inc2024-12-31
475.1 K
Annandale Capital, Llc2024-12-31
156.7 K
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2024-12-31
116.4 K
Gordian Capital Singapore Pte Ltd2024-12-31
112.2 K
Tudor Investment Corp Et Al2024-12-31
109.6 K
Diametric Capital, Lp2024-12-31
66.1 K
Public Employees Retirement System Of Ohio2024-12-31
65.2 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-12-31
56.3 K
Aristides Capital Llc2024-12-31
56 K
Orbis Allan Gray Ltd2024-12-31
6.6 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
2.7 M
Note, although Burford Capital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Burford Capital Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash135.6M(141.8M)(247.6M)112.9M249.4M261.9M
Free Cash Flow180.3M(585.6M)(466.5M)(277.9M)216.1M226.9M
Other Non Cash Items(67.8M)(548.9M)(717.0M)(1.4B)(21.5M)(22.6M)
Capital Expenditures360K285K407K3.2M661K898.2K
Net Income208.6M(56.4M)233.3M718.2M229.6M186.0M
End Period Cash Flow322.2M180.3M(67.4M)220.5M469.9M493.4M
Depreciation9.8M3.2M4.4M(2.9M)(2.6M)(2.5M)
Investments(360K)(285K)(407K)(3.2M)(661K)(694.1K)
Net Borrowings(1.4M)(7.3M)366.1M277.4M319.0M186.4M
Change To Netincome(281.7M)(259.3M)(97.6M)(211.4M)(243.1M)(255.2M)

Burford Capital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Burford Capital or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Burford Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Burford stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.31
σ
Overall volatility
2.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Burford Capital Volatility Alert

Burford Capital currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Burford Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Burford Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Burford Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Burford Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Burford Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Burford Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Burford Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Burford Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Burford Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Burford Capital to competition
FundamentalsBurford CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.071-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0168-0.14
Operating Margin(2.86) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.02 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding219.42 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders9.44 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions61.49 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.96 M4.71 M
Price To Earning269.00 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.20 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.32 X11.42 X
Revenue546.09 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(6.78 M)27.38 B
EBITDA390.6 M3.9 B
Net Income229.58 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents478.84 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.19 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.92 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.62 %48.70 %
Current Ratio8.03 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.03 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations216.72 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.56 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.66 X3.12 X
Target Price19.7
Number Of Employees16018.84 K
Beta0.88-0.15
Market Capitalization2.95 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.18 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.77 B9.33 B
Working Capital194.62 M1.48 B
Current Asset222.32 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities27.7 M7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Aviva Will of 1610 shares of Burford Capital subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Burford Capital Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Burford . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Burford Capital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Burford Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Burford Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Burford Capital in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Technology
Technology Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Technology Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Burford Stock Analysis

When running Burford Capital's price analysis, check to measure Burford Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burford Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Burford Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burford Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burford Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burford Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.