Peabody Energy Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BTU Stock  USD 23.85  0.40  1.65%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Peabody Energy Corp is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Peabody Energy Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Peabody Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Peabody Energy Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Peabody Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Peabody and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Peabody Energy Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Peabody Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Peabody recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Peabody Energy Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Peabody Energy Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Peabody Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Peabody EnergyBuy Peabody Energy
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Peabody Energy Corp has a Mean Deviation of 2.04, Semi Deviation of 2.44, Standard Deviation of 2.84, Variance of 8.08, Downside Variance of 6.54 and Semi Variance of 5.94
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Peabody Energy. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Peabody Energy is not overpriced, please check all Peabody Energy Corp fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, debt to equity, working capital, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that Peabody Energy Corp has a price to book of 0.81 X, we recommend you to check out Peabody Energy Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Peabody Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Peabody Energy Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Peabody Energy Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Oversold Coal Mining Stock Due For a Rebound

Peabody Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Peabody Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Peabody Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Peabody Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Peabody Energy Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Peabody Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Peabody Energy.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-5.04
Potential Upside
4.84
Standard Deviation
2.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Peabody Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Peabody Stock Institutional Investors

The Peabody Energy's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Peabody Energy's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Fidelity International Ltd2024-06-30
1.7 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
1.6 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.6 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
1.4 M
Key Group Holdings (cayman), Ltd.2024-09-30
1.2 M
Qube Research & Technologies2024-06-30
1.2 M
Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
1.2 M
Hosking Partners Llp2024-09-30
1.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
17.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
14.7 M
Note, although Peabody Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Peabody Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(53.3M)70.6M35M(69.4M)(59.7M)(56.7M)
Change In Cash(285.2M)(23M)245.1M463.3M232.6M244.2M
Free Cash Flow392.1M(207.2M)236.9M949.4M687.2M721.6M
Depreciation919.8M1.8B36.8M317.6M371.9M505.2M
Other Non Cash Items(7.6M)(5.3M)33.4M(242.5M)(75M)(71.3M)
Capital Expenditures285.3M197.5M183.1M224.2M348.3M422.9M
Net Income(188.3M)(1.9B)347.4M1.3B759.6M797.6M
End Period Cash Flow732.2M709.2M954.3M1.4B1.7B1.7B
Change To Netincome294.4M1.6B(248.8M)(159.2M)(143.3M)(136.1M)
Investments(3M)(206.7M)29.9M(28.7M)(264.4M)(251.2M)
Change Receivables82.9M84.6M(105.6M)(115M)(103.5M)(98.3M)
Net Borrowings(77.5M)198.5M(285.3M)(883.5M)(795.2M)(755.4M)

Peabody Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Peabody Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Peabody Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Peabody stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.60
σ
Overall volatility
2.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Peabody Energy Volatility Alert

Peabody Energy Corp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of -0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Peabody Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Peabody Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Peabody Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Peabody Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Peabody Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Peabody Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Peabody Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Peabody Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peabody Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Peabody Energy to competition
FundamentalsPeabody EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.16-0.31
Return On Asset0.0631-0.14
Profit Margin0.12 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.12 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.61 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding121.5 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions94.69 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted13.65 M4.71 M
Price To Earning4.58 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.81 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.67 X11.42 X
Revenue4.95 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.69 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.51 B3.9 B
Net Income759.6 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.31 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.79 X5.01 X
Total Debt399.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.47 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.28 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share29.98 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.04 B971.22 M
Short Ratio5.23 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.79 X3.12 X
Target Price29.4
Number Of Employees5.4 K18.84 K
Beta0.98-0.15
Market Capitalization2.9 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.96 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.11 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.04 B1.48 B
Current Asset1.38 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities7.39 B7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Thomist Capital Management, Lp of 31800 shares of Peabody Energy at 23.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Peabody Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Peabody . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Peabody Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Peabody Energy Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Peabody Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Gold ETFs Theme
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Additional Tools for Peabody Stock Analysis

When running Peabody Energy's price analysis, check to measure Peabody Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Peabody Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Peabody Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Peabody Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Peabody Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Peabody Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.