Black Stone Minerals Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BSM Stock  USD 15.02  0.17  1.14%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Black Stone Minerals is 'Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Black Stone's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Black Stone Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Black and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Black Stone Minerals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Black Stone Buy or Sell Advice

The Black recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Black Stone Minerals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Black Stone Minerals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Black Stone's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Black StoneBuy Black Stone
Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Black Stone Minerals has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0594, Jensen Alpha of 0.1027, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2239, Sortino Ratio of 0.136 and Treynor Ratio of 0.231
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Black Stone Minerals and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Black Stone is not overpriced, please confirm all Black Stone Minerals fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, net income, target price, as well as the relationship between the price to book and book value per share . Given that Black Stone Minerals has a price to earning of 9.56 X, we suggest you to validate Black Stone Minerals market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Black Stone Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Black Stone Minerals has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Decoding Black Stone Minerals LP A Strategic SWOT Insight

Black Stone Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Black Stone's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Black Stone's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Black Stone daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Black Stone Minerals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Black Stone returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Black Stone.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-2.09
Potential Upside
2.32
Standard Deviation
1.23
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Black Stone historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Black Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Black Stone, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Black Stone Minerals back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Epacria Capital Partners Llc2024-12-31
578.4 K
Citigroup Inc2024-12-31
578.3 K
Kempner Capital Management Inc2024-12-31
498.6 K
Fayez Sarofim & Company2024-12-31
490.7 K
Concorde Financial Corporation2024-12-31
483.2 K
Hightower Advisors, Llc2024-12-31
408.9 K
Cambridge Invest Research Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
389.3 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-12-31
356.8 K
Aptus Capital Advisors, Llc2024-12-31
334 K
William Marsh Rice University2024-12-31
5.7 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
5.5 M
Note, although Black Stone's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Black Stone Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(6.3M)7.1M(4.6M)66.0M(67.8M)(64.4M)
Free Cash Flow277.0M242.2M412.4M501.4M384.8M229.0M
Depreciation82.0M61.0M47.8M46.7M45.2M85.9M
Other Non Cash Items146.2M95.2M(80.2M)39.1M52.5M50.8M
Dividends Paid161.3M197.9M343.4M419.8M365.1M288.3M
Capital Expenditures4.8M14.6M12.6M19.8M4.2M4.0M
Net Income121.8M182.0M476.5M422.5M271.3M212.0M
End Period Cash Flow1.8M8.9M4.3M70.3M2.5M2.4M
Net Borrowings(16M)(273M)(35.6M)(81.9M)(73.7M)(77.4M)
Change To Netincome25.4M(15.4M)155.8M138.1M158.8M166.7M
Change Receivables35.0M16.5M(34.9M)(39.5M)(35.6M)(33.8M)
Investments151.2M(14.3M)(1.2M)(5.5M)(112.2M)(117.8M)

Black Stone Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Black Stone or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Black Stone's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Black stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Black Stone Volatility Alert

Black Stone Minerals has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.05 and kurtosis of -0.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Black Stone's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Black Stone's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Black Stone Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Black Stone's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Black Stone's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Black Stone and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Black Stone or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Black Stone's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Black Stone by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Black Stone to competition
FundamentalsBlack StonePeer Average
Return On Equity0.23-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.64 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.46 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.19 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding211.14 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders21.56 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions13.87 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.34 M4.71 M
Price To Earning9.56 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.81 X9.51 X
Price To Sales7.43 X11.42 X
Revenue433.7 M9.43 B
Gross Profit367.69 M27.38 B
EBITDA319.63 M3.9 B
Net Income271.33 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.31 M2.7 B
Total Debt25 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.05 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.93 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations389.04 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.57 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.15 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.22 X4.89 X
Target Price16.0
Beta0.89-0.15
Market Capitalization3.17 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.22 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings835.39 M9.33 B
Working Capital48.12 M1.48 B
Current Asset103.59 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities63.04 M7.9 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Black Stone Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Black . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Black Stone Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Black Stone Minerals? Buying financial instruments such as Black Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Black Stone in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Communication Thematic Idea Now

Communication
Communication Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Communication theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Communication Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Black Stone Minerals is a strong investment it is important to analyze Black Stone's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Black Stone's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Black Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Black Stone Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Black Stone. If investors know Black will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Black Stone listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.72)
Dividend Share
1.5
Earnings Share
1.15
Revenue Per Share
2.027
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.23)
The market value of Black Stone Minerals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Black that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Black Stone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Black Stone's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Black Stone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Black Stone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Black Stone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Black Stone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Black Stone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.