Blackbaud Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BLKB Stock  USD 63.45  0.15  0.24%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Blackbaud is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Blackbaud buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BLKB positions.
  
Check out Blackbaud Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Blackbaud Stock refer to our How to Trade Blackbaud Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Blackbaud and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Blackbaud. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute Blackbaud Buy or Sell Advice

The Blackbaud recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Blackbaud. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Blackbaud or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Blackbaud's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BlackbaudBuy Blackbaud
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Blackbaud has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13), Jensen Alpha of (0.29), Total Risk Alpha of (0.08) and Treynor Ratio of (0.71)
Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on Blackbaud that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Blackbaud. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Blackbaud is not overpriced, please confirm all Blackbaud fundamentals, including its operating margin, price to book, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and gross profit . Given that Blackbaud has a price to book of 22.00 X, we suggest you to validate Blackbaud market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Blackbaud Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Blackbaud generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blackbaud currently holds 1.11 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Blackbaud has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Blackbaud's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (283.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 639.2 M.
Over 97.0% of Blackbaud shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Blackbaud stock touches 52-week low at 63.6 amid market challenges - Investing.com India

Blackbaud Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Blackbaud's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Blackbaud's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Blackbaud daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Blackbaud price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Blackbaud returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Blackbaud.
Mean Return
-0.33
Value At Risk
-3.36
Potential Upside
2.40
Standard Deviation
2.04
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Blackbaud historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Blackbaud Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
P2 Capital Partners, Llc2024-12-31
758.2 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
693.6 K
Palisade Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
590.8 K
Van Berkom And Associates Inc2024-12-31
523.5 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
482.6 K
Norges Bank2024-12-31
462.2 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-12-31
431.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
412.7 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
411.3 K
Clearlake Capital Group Lp2024-12-31
9.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
5.8 M
Note, although Blackbaud's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Blackbaud Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Depreciation92.7M82.4M102.4M109.5M121.7M127.7M
Other Non Cash Items17.0M23.5M14.1M11.3M417.0M437.8M
Capital Expenditures71.8M52.2M71.1M4.7M7.4M7.1M
Net Income7.7M5.7M(45.4M)1.8M(283.2M)(269.0M)
End Period Cash Flow645.0M651.8M733.9M728.3M809.5M850.0M
Change In Cash67.7M6.8M82.2M(5.7M)81.3M85.3M
Free Cash Flow76.1M161.5M132.8M135.5M288.5M303.0M
Change To Inventory(7.2M)(3.3M)(26.7M)(10.2M)(9.2M)(8.8M)
Dividends Paid23.6M6.0M303.6M37.7M43.4M39.1M
Investments(71.8M)(471.3M)(85.5M)(66.9M)(73.4M)(77.1M)
Change Receivables(6.6M)(18.4M)(6.5M)(7.3M)(6.6M)(6.9M)
Net Borrowings157.3M57.6M429.2M(99.7M)(114.7M)(109.0M)
Change To Netincome68.7M112.3M139.9M95.4M109.7M61.8M

Blackbaud Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Blackbaud or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Blackbaud's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Blackbaud stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
2.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Blackbaud Volatility Alert

Blackbaud exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.27 and kurtosis of 11.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Blackbaud's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Blackbaud's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Blackbaud Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Blackbaud's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Blackbaud's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Blackbaud and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Blackbaud or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Blackbaud's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blackbaud by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Blackbaud to competition
FundamentalsBlackbaudPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.6-0.31
Return On Asset0.0417-0.14
Profit Margin(0.25) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.17 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding49.24 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.89 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.99 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted570.11 K4.71 M
Price To Book22.00 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.70 X11.42 X
Revenue1.16 B9.43 B
Gross Profit639.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA(134.29 M)3.9 B
Net Income(283.17 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents29.03 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.56 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.11 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.38 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.73 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.93 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations295.97 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.98 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(5.60) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.12 X4.89 X
Target Price76.33
Number Of Employees2.6 K18.84 K
Beta1.09-0.15
Market Capitalization3.12 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.5 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(88.08 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(275.79 M)1.48 B
Current Asset399.11 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 1005 shares by Anthony Boor of Blackbaud at 68.24 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Blackbaud Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Blackbaud . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Blackbaud Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Blackbaud? Buying financial instruments such as Blackbaud Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Blackbaud in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Emerging Markets ETFs theme has 31 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Emerging Markets ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Blackbaud offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Blackbaud's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Blackbaud Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Blackbaud Stock:
Check out Blackbaud Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Blackbaud Stock refer to our How to Trade Blackbaud Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blackbaud. If investors know Blackbaud will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blackbaud listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.353
Earnings Share
(5.60)
Revenue Per Share
22.854
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.024
Return On Assets
0.0417
The market value of Blackbaud is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blackbaud that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blackbaud's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blackbaud's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blackbaud's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blackbaud's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blackbaud's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blackbaud is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blackbaud's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.