Builders Firstsource Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BLDR Stock  USD 126.19  3.39  2.76%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Builders FirstSource is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Builders FirstSource within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Builders FirstSource Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Builders Stock, please use our How to Invest in Builders FirstSource guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Builders and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Builders FirstSource. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute Builders FirstSource Buy or Sell Advice

The Builders recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Builders FirstSource. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Builders FirstSource or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Builders FirstSource's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Builders FirstSourceBuy Builders FirstSource
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Builders FirstSource has a Mean Deviation of 1.87, Standard Deviation of 2.4 and Variance of 5.75
Macroaxis provides advice on Builders FirstSource to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Builders FirstSource. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Builders FirstSource is not overpriced, please confirm all Builders FirstSource fundamentals, including its total debt, beta, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Builders FirstSource has a price to earning of 3.84 X, we suggest you to validate Builders FirstSource market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Builders FirstSource Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Builders FirstSource generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Builders FirstSource is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Builders FirstSource has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Builders FirstSource Reaches New 12-Month Low Time to Sell

Builders FirstSource Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Builders FirstSource's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Builders FirstSource's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Builders FirstSource daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Builders FirstSource price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Builders FirstSource returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Builders FirstSource.
Mean Return
-0.47
Value At Risk
-4.12
Potential Upside
4.05
Standard Deviation
2.40
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Builders FirstSource historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Builders Stock Institutional Investors

The Builders FirstSource's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Builders FirstSource's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2024-12-31
1.7 M
Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main2024-12-31
1.7 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
1.6 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2024-12-31
1.6 M
Ing Investment Management Llc2024-12-31
1.4 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
1.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
1.1 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
1.1 M
Robeco Institutional Asset Management Bv2024-12-31
976.1 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
13.7 M
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
10.9 M
Note, although Builders FirstSource's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Builders FirstSource Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Depreciation116.6M547.4M497.1M558.3M561.9M590.0M
Other Non Cash Items9.1M(25.5M)69.2M(13.1M)33.0M17.5M
Capital Expenditures112.1M227.9M340.2M476.3M380.6M399.6M
Net Income313.5M1.7B2.7B1.5B1.1B1.1B
End Period Cash Flow423.8M42.6M80.4M66.2M153.6M88.6M
Change To Inventory(220.1M)(282.2M)271.9M231.5M51.5M54.0M
Change In Cash409.7M(381.2M)37.8M(14.3M)87.5M91.8M
Free Cash Flow148.0M1.5B3.3B1.8B1.5B1.6B
Dividends Paid1.4M726K589K194.5M175.1M123.6M
Change Receivables(9.2M)42.8M(259.5M)(453.9M)(408.5M)(388.1M)
Net Borrowings(295.4M)288.6M958.3M61.3M70.5M66.9M
Change To Netincome70.5M39.3M(32.5M)3.2M3.7M3.5M
Investments(136.2M)(1.3B)(957.5M)(616.2M)(710.7M)(746.3M)

Builders FirstSource Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Builders FirstSource or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Builders FirstSource's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Builders stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.46
σ
Overall volatility
2.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Builders FirstSource Volatility Alert

Builders FirstSource exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.15 and kurtosis of -0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Builders FirstSource's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Builders FirstSource's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Builders FirstSource Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Builders FirstSource's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Builders FirstSource's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Builders FirstSource and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Builders FirstSource or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Builders FirstSource's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Builders FirstSource by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Builders FirstSource to competition
FundamentalsBuilders FirstSourcePeer Average
Return On Equity0.24-0.31
Return On Asset0.0946-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.13 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding113.62 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.95 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.86 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted14.11 M4.71 M
Price To Earning3.84 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.25 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.87 X11.42 X
Revenue16.4 B9.43 B
Gross Profit5.38 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.6 B3.9 B
Net Income1.08 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents84.98 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.58 X5.01 X
Total Debt632.18 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.71 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.93 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share37.83 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.87 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.37 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share9.06 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.81 X4.89 X
Target Price179.39
Number Of Employees29 K18.84 K
Beta2.2-0.15
Market Capitalization14.34 B19.03 B
Total Asset10.58 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings24.07 M9.33 B
Working Capital1.36 B1.48 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Builders FirstSource Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Builders . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Builders FirstSource Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Builders FirstSource? Buying financial instruments such as Builders Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Builders FirstSource in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Large Value Funds
Large Value Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of large-sized companies. The Large Value Funds theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Value Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Builders Stock Analysis

When running Builders FirstSource's price analysis, check to measure Builders FirstSource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Builders FirstSource is operating at the current time. Most of Builders FirstSource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Builders FirstSource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Builders FirstSource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Builders FirstSource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.