Birchcliff Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BIR Stock | CAD 5.29 0.04 0.76% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Birchcliff Energy is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Birchcliff Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Birchcliff Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Birchcliff and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Birchcliff Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Birchcliff |
Execute Birchcliff Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The Birchcliff recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Birchcliff Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Birchcliff Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Birchcliff Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Birchcliff Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Birchcliff Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Birchcliff Energy has accumulated 384.71 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.51, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Birchcliff Energy has a current ratio of 0.26, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Birchcliff Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Birchcliff Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Birchcliff Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Birchcliff to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Birchcliff Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Birchcliff Energy Announces Q3 Results and 2025 Plans - TipRanks |
Birchcliff Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Birchcliff Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Birchcliff Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Birchcliff Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Birchcliff Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Birchcliff Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Birchcliff Energy.
| Mean Return | -0.15 | Value At Risk | -3.7 | Potential Upside | 3.04 | Standard Deviation | 2.03 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Birchcliff Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Birchcliff Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Free Cash Flow | 30.7M | (101.5M) | 284.9M | 560.7M | 12.5M | 13.2M | |
| Depreciation | 384.8M | 225.3M | 215.4M | 213.8M | 230.2M | 126.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 296.3M | 289.7M | 230.5M | 364.6M | 308.0M | 268.5M | |
| Net Income | (55.4M) | (57.8M) | 314.7M | 656.8M | 9.8M | 9.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 70K | 60K | 63K | 74K | 55K | 52.3K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 33.4M | 25.8M | (90.2M) | (126.6M) | 54.9M | 57.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 35.6M | 18.6M | 13.5M | 77.0M | 213.3M | 224.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.5M | 118.8M | (230.5M) | (371.5M) | (334.4M) | (317.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 169.0M | 23.6M | 4.7M | 75.6M | 86.9M | 57.5M | |
| Investments | (292.0M) | (278.7M) | (1.3M) | (338.5M) | (338.9M) | (355.8M) |
Birchcliff Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Birchcliff Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Birchcliff Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Birchcliff stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Birchcliff Energy Volatility Alert
Birchcliff Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.23 and kurtosis of 0.96. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Birchcliff Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Birchcliff Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Birchcliff Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Birchcliff Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Birchcliff Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Birchcliff Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Birchcliff Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Birchcliff Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Birchcliff Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Birchcliff Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Birchcliff Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0181 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0182 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.45 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.02 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 269.8 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.55 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 16.73 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 11.89 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.25 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.65 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.16 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 700.62 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.13 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 268.7 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 9.78 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 60 K | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 384.71 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.51 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.27 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 8.33 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 320.53 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 11.20 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.06 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.44) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 6.58 | |
| Number Of Employees | 218 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.92 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.42 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.18 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 691.59 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (10.52 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 26.05 M | 9.34 B |
Birchcliff Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Birchcliff . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Birchcliff Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Birchcliff Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Birchcliff Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Birchcliff Stock
Birchcliff Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Birchcliff Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Birchcliff with respect to the benefits of owning Birchcliff Energy security.