Bhp Group Limited Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BHP Stock  USD 51.80  0.61  1.19%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding BHP Group Limited is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell BHP Group Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards BHP Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for BHP Group Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out BHP Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as BHP and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. BHP Group Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute BHP Group Buy or Sell Advice

The BHP recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BHP Group Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BHP Group Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BHP Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BHP GroupBuy BHP Group
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon BHP Group Limited has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0.14), Total Risk Alpha of (0.38) and Treynor Ratio of (0.12)
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement BHP Group trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure BHP Group is not overpriced, please confirm all BHP Group Limited fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that BHP Group Limited has a price to book of 2.99 X, we suggest you to validate BHP Group Limited market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself for few more years given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

BHP Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

BHP Group Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BHP Group Limited has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 3rd of October 2024 BHP Group paid $ 1.48 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from fool.com.au: Are you invested in ASX volcano stocks

BHP Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of BHP Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of BHP Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BHP Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BHP Group Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BHP Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for BHP Group.
Mean Return
-0.06
Value At Risk
-3.01
Potential Upside
3.24
Standard Deviation
1.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BHP Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

BHP Stock Institutional Investors

The BHP Group's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase BHP Group's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Westwood Global Investments Llc2024-09-30
1.5 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.4 M
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
1.4 M
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co2024-09-30
1.3 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
1.3 M
Xy Capital Ltd2024-09-30
921.7 K
Sih Partners Lllp2024-09-30
920.1 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
899.9 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
779.4 K
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
21.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
10.4 M
Note, although BHP Group's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

BHP Group Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(2.2B)1.8B2.0B(4.8B)75M71.3M
Free Cash Flow8.8B21.6B26.1B12.0B11.8B6.3B
Depreciation6.1B5.1B5.7B5.1B5.3B3.8B
Other Non Cash Items(3.9B)(983M)(3.0B)(7.6B)8.8B9.2B
Capital Expenditures6.9B5.6B6.1B6.7B8.8B6.4B
Net Income13.5B24.3B30.9B21.4B7.9B8.7B
End Period Cash Flow13.4B15.2B17.2B12.4B12.5B13.1B
Dividends Paid6.9B7.9B17.9B13.3B(7.7B)(7.3B)
Change To Inventory(715M)(405M)(865M)(44M)(530M)(503.5M)
Change To Netincome3.3B1.6B10.6B(3.3B)(3.8B)(3.6B)
Investments(7.6B)(578M)(266M)(13.1B)(8.8B)(8.3B)
Net Borrowings(2.4B)(1.5B)(7.8B)(2.2B)(2.0B)(2.1B)

BHP Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BHP Group or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BHP Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BHP stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
1.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

BHP Group Volatility Alert

BHP Group Limited exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.17 and kurtosis of 1.41. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BHP Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BHP Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

BHP Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing BHP Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze BHP Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between BHP Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as BHP Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of BHP Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BHP Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare BHP Group to competition
FundamentalsBHP GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.43 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation138.66 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.54 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions3.81 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted11.12 M4.71 M
Price To Earning7.62 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.99 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.34 X11.42 X
Revenue55.66 B9.43 B
Gross Profit43.23 B27.38 B
EBITDA23.52 B3.9 B
Net Income7.9 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents5.22 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.93 X5.01 X
Total Debt20.18 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.37 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.69 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.84 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations20.66 B971.22 M
Short Ratio4.96 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.11 X3.12 X
Target Price56.8
Number Of Employees38.96 K18.84 K
Beta0.86-0.15
Market Capitalization131.32 B19.03 B
Total Asset102.36 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings39.96 B9.33 B
Working Capital10.04 B1.48 B
Current Asset17.71 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities12.34 B7.9 B

BHP Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BHP . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About BHP Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell BHP Group Limited? Buying financial instruments such as BHP Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having BHP Group in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additional Tools for BHP Stock Analysis

When running BHP Group's price analysis, check to measure BHP Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BHP Group is operating at the current time. Most of BHP Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BHP Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BHP Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BHP Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.