Big 5 Sporting Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BGFV Stock  USD 1.77  0.07  4.12%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Big 5 Sporting is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Big 5 Sporting given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Big 5. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Big 5 Sporting, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Big 5 Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Big and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Big 5 Sporting. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Big 5 Buy or Sell Advice

The Big recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Big 5 Sporting. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Big 5 Sporting or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Big 5's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Big 5Buy Big 5
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Big 5 Sporting has a Mean Deviation of 3.08, Standard Deviation of 4.09 and Variance of 16.75
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Big 5 Sporting. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Big 5 is not overpriced, please confirm all Big 5 Sporting fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash per share, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Please also double-check Big 5 Sporting price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Big 5 Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Big 5 Sporting generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Big 5 Sporting may become a speculative penny stock
Big 5 Sporting has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 884.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 341.21 M.
Latest headline from bbc.co.uk: Champions League highlights Sporting 1-5 Arsenal

Big 5 Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Big 5's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Big 5's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Big 5 daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Big 5 Sporting price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Big 5 returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Big 5.
Mean Return
-0.09
Value At Risk
-8.47
Potential Upside
4.69
Standard Deviation
4.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Big 5 historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Big Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Big 5, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Big 5 Sporting back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
173.7 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
168.2 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
142.2 K
Castleknight Management Lp2024-09-30
132.5 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
124.3 K
Gabelli Funds Llc2024-09-30
122.5 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-06-30
109.4 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
100.2 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
95.6 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
M
Gsa Capital Partners Llp2024-09-30
597.9 K
Note, although Big 5's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Big 5 Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash1.5M56.4M32.8M(71.9M)(16.4M)(15.5M)
Free Cash Flow4.9M141.4M104.7M(41.6M)7.5M7.1M
Depreciation19.8M18.8M18.3M18.5M18.9M19.1M
Other Non Cash Items62.1M62.3M66.1M69.2M71.0M74.5M
Capital Expenditures9.4M7.3M10.9M13.2M11.0M11.9M
Net Income8.4M55.9M102.4M26.1M(7.1M)(6.7M)
End Period Cash Flow8.2M64.7M97.4M25.6M9.2M16.2M
Change To Inventory(15.2M)58.1M(28.8M)(23.5M)27.7M29.1M
Dividends Paid4.4M5.5M61.8M22.3M19.8M11.9M
Change Receivables1.3M(3.9M)5.9M1.6M1.9M1.1M
Net Borrowings3.5M(78.7M)(992K)601K540.9K567.9K
Change To Netincome4.2M2.6M4.8M4.9M5.6M4.3M
Investments(9.2M)(5.4M)(10.6M)(13.2M)(12.6M)(13.2M)

Big 5 Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Big 5 or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Big 5's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Big stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
4.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Big 5 Volatility Alert

Big 5 Sporting exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.08 and kurtosis of 1.75. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Big 5's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Big 5's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Big 5 Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Big 5's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Big 5's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Big 5 and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Big 5 or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Big 5's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Big 5 by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Big 5 to competition
FundamentalsBig 5Peer Average
Return On Equity-0.25-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0459-0.14
Profit Margin(0.07) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.05) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation319.81 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding22.7 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.76 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions22.64 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.85 M4.71 M
Price To Earning6.27 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.20 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.05 X11.42 X
Revenue884.75 M9.43 B
Gross Profit341.21 M27.38 B
EBITDA8.18 M3.9 B
Net Income(7.08 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents34.44 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.58 X5.01 X
Total Debt277.25 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.12 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.61 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.90 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations18.54 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.11 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.61) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth4.45 X4.89 X
Target Price4.5
Number Of Employees2.3 K18.84 K
Beta2.32-0.15
Market Capitalization38.59 M19.03 B
Total Asset644.68 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings169.67 M9.33 B
Working Capital119.48 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Steven Miller of 50000 shares of Big 5 at 4.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Big 5 Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Big . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Big 5 Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Big 5 Sporting? Buying financial instruments such as Big Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Big 5 in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Aggressive Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that attempt to achieve high capital gains by investing in companies with high growth potential and above average risk. The Aggressive Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aggressive Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Big Stock Analysis

When running Big 5's price analysis, check to measure Big 5's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Big 5 is operating at the current time. Most of Big 5's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Big 5's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Big 5's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Big 5 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.