Axogen Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AXGN Stock | USD 20.11 2.10 11.66% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Axogen Inc is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Axogen's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Axogen Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Axogen and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Axogen Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Axogen |
Execute Axogen Buy or Sell Advice
The Axogen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Axogen Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Axogen Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Axogen's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Axogen Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Axogen Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 159.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 142.43 M. | |
| Axogen Inc currently holds about 58.03 M in cash with (5.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.37. | |
| Axogen Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: AxoGen Q4 2024 Earnings Preview |
Axogen Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Axogen's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Axogen's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Axogen daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Axogen Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Axogen returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Axogen.
| Mean Return | 0.60 | Value At Risk | -2.99 | Potential Upside | 4.86 | Standard Deviation | 3.54 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Axogen historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Axogen Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Axogen, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axogen Inc back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-12-31 | 826.5 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 772.8 K | Armistice Capital, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 613 K | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2024-12-31 | 594.8 K | Tocqueville Asset Management L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 589.9 K | Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc | 2024-12-31 | 583.6 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-12-31 | 488.3 K | Prudential Financial Inc | 2024-12-31 | 418.3 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 416.6 K | First Light Asset Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 4.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.4 M |
Axogen Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (910K) | (7.5M) | (3.7M) | (6.1M) | (5.4M) | (5.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | 13.9M | (16.6M) | (17.5M) | 15.5M | 17.8M | 18.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (32.2M) | (41.8M) | (37.3M) | (20.6M) | (18.6M) | (17.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 3.5M | 4.7M | 4.9M | 5.6M | 6.4M | 6.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 232K | 831K | 2.0M | 415K | 477.3K | 383.4K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 22.6M | 28.4M | 21.3M | 14.9M | 17.2M | 18.0M | |
| Net Income | (23.8M) | (27.0M) | (28.9M) | (21.7M) | (19.5M) | (18.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 55.6M | 39.0M | 21.5M | 37.0M | 42.6M | 44.7M | |
| Net Borrowings | 29K | 35M | 15.0M | (12K) | (13.8K) | (13.1K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 11.8M | 10.7M | 14.3M | 16.7M | 19.2M | 20.2M | |
| Investments | 5.6M | 3.8M | 18.1M | 18.3M | 21.1M | 22.1M |
Axogen Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Axogen or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Axogen's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Axogen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Axogen Volatility Alert
Axogen Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.17 and Jensen Alpha of 0.59. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Axogen's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Axogen's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Axogen Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Axogen's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Axogen's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Axogen and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Axogen or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Axogen's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axogen by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Axogen to competition |
| Fundamentals | Axogen | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0275 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.08) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.01) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 836.04 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 44.01 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.08 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 82.42 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.87 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (47.07) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 7.96 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.38 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 159.01 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 142.43 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (13.33 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (21.72 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 58.03 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.37 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 69.29 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.71 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.52 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.26 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (5.72 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.31 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.33) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 20.83 | |
| Number Of Employees | 426 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.99 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 792.59 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 196.83 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (281.3 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 57.57 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 35.05 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Erick DeVinney of 2500 shares of Axogen subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Axogen Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Axogen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Axogen Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Axogen Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Axogen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Axogen in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Axogen Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axogen. If investors know Axogen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axogen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.33) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.179 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Axogen Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axogen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axogen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axogen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axogen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axogen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axogen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axogen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axogen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.