Anavex Life Sciences Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AVXL Stock  USD 9.46  0.43  4.76%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Anavex Life Sciences is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Anavex Life's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Anavex Life Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Anavex and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Anavex Life Sciences. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.

Execute Anavex Life Buy or Sell Advice

The Anavex recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Anavex Life Sciences. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Anavex Life Sciences or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Anavex Life's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Anavex LifeBuy Anavex Life
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Anavex Life Sciences has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1368, Jensen Alpha of 0.5497, Total Risk Alpha of (0.01), Sortino Ratio of 0.1846 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3763
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Anavex Life Sciences. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Anavex Life is not overpriced, please confirm all Anavex Life Sciences fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, current ratio, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the net income and target price . Given that Anavex Life Sciences has a price to earning of (11.03) X, we suggest you to validate Anavex Life Sciences market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Anavex Life Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Anavex Life Sciences appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (47.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Anavex Life Sciences currently holds about 149.16 M in cash with (27.79 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.91.
Anavex Life Sciences has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Commerce Cloud Market to Propel Growth at USD 143.68 Billion by 2031 SkyQuest Technology

Anavex Life Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Anavex Life's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Anavex Life's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Anavex Life daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Anavex Life Sciences price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Anavex Life returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Anavex Life.
Mean Return
0.84
Value At Risk
-7.22
Potential Upside
10.31
Standard Deviation
5.02
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Anavex Life historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Anavex Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Oz Management Llc2024-09-30
370.4 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
304.2 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
280.6 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
264.4 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
243.8 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
181.9 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
142.6 K
Rafferty Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
139.6 K
Exoduspoint Capital Management, Lp2024-09-30
127.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
6.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
4.7 M
Note, although Anavex Life's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Anavex Life Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash7.1M122.9M(2.9M)1.9M2.1M2.0M
Free Cash Flow(21.3M)(30.4M)(24.2M)(27.8M)(25.0M)(23.8M)
Net Income(26.3M)(37.9M)(48.0M)(47.5M)(42.8M)(40.6M)
End Period Cash Flow29.2M152.1M149.2M151.0M173.7M182.4M
Other Non Cash Items6.6M11.8M13.3M845K971.8K923.2K
Change To Netincome4.9M8.2M18.4M17.2M19.8M20.8M
Change To Inventory2.2M4.3M(5.9M)(484K)(435.6K)(413.8K)

Anavex Life Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Anavex Life or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Anavex Life's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Anavex stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.21
σ
Overall volatility
4.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Anavex Life Volatility Alert

Anavex Life Sciences shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Anavex Life's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Anavex Life's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Anavex Life Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Anavex Life's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Anavex Life's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Anavex Life and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Anavex Life or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Anavex Life's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Anavex Life by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Anavex Life to competition
FundamentalsAnavex LifePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.3-0.31
Return On Asset-0.2-0.14
Current Valuation663.41 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding84.8 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.04 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions32.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted18.81 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(11.03) X28.72 X
Price To Book6.18 X9.51 X
EBITDA(47.5 M)3.9 B
Net Income(47.51 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents149.16 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.91 X5.01 X
Total Debt12.53 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio14.95 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.53 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(27.79 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio13.65 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.51) X3.12 X
Target Price35.47
Number Of Employees4018.84 K
Beta0.6-0.15
Market Capitalization802.17 M19.03 B
Total Asset154.39 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(293.07 M)9.33 B
Working Capital141.85 M1.48 B
Current Asset9.45 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities3.19 M7.9 B
Net Asset154.39 M
Note: Acquisition by Athanasios Skarpelos of 50000 shares of Anavex Life at 5.36 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Anavex Life Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Anavex . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Anavex Life Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Anavex Life Sciences? Buying financial instruments such as Anavex Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether Anavex Life Sciences is a strong investment it is important to analyze Anavex Life's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Anavex Life's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Anavex Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Anavex Life Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Anavex Life. If investors know Anavex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Anavex Life listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.51)
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(0.30)
The market value of Anavex Life Sciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Anavex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Anavex Life's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Anavex Life's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Anavex Life's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Anavex Life's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Anavex Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Anavex Life is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Anavex Life's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.