Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AVAH Stock | USD 5.19 0.05 0.97% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aveanna Healthcare Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Aveanna Healthcare's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Aveanna Healthcare Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aveanna and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Aveanna Healthcare Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Aveanna |
Execute Aveanna Healthcare Buy or Sell Advice
The Aveanna recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aveanna Healthcare Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aveanna Healthcare Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aveanna Healthcare's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Aveanna Healthcare Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Aveanna Healthcare had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Aveanna Healthcare has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Aveanna Healthcare Holdings currently holds 1.33 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.17, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Aveanna Healthcare has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Aveanna Healthcare's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 635.54 M. | |
| Over 90.0% of Aveanna Healthcare shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Aveanna healthcare targets 2.1B-2.12B revenue in 2025 with preferred payor strategy |
Aveanna Healthcare Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Aveanna Healthcare's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aveanna Healthcare's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aveanna Healthcare daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aveanna Healthcare Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aveanna Healthcare returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aveanna Healthcare.
| Mean Return | 0.1 | Value At Risk | -5.4 | Potential Upside | 6.11 | Standard Deviation | 5.77 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aveanna Healthcare historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Aveanna Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 466.7 K | Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 435.9 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 400.4 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 313.9 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-12-31 | 282.9 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 249.8 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 218.3 K | Tudor Investment Corp Et Al | 2024-12-31 | 215 K | Mackenzie Investments | 2024-12-31 | 214.4 K | Bain Capital Investors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 81.6 M | J.h. Whitney Equity Partners Vii, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 48.7 M |
Aveanna Healthcare Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (193.5M) | 1.0M | (11.7M) | (10.4M) | (6.3M) | (6.6M) | |
| Change In Cash | 134.0M | (106.9M) | (11.3M) | 24.7M | 40.3M | 42.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | 68.9M | 166.1M | 1.4B | 68.1M | 78.3M | 74.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 101.4M | (27.3M) | (60.4M) | 16.6M | 26.3M | 27.6M | |
| Depreciation | 30.2M | 35.4M | 38.8M | 30.1M | 31.2M | 32.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 90.1M | 125.9M | 601.3M | 136.3M | (6.1M) | (5.8M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 15.2M | 16.0M | 12.0M | 6.1M | 6.3M | 10.5M | |
| Net Income | (57.1M) | (117.0M) | (662.0M) | (134.5M) | (10.9M) | (11.5M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 137.3M | 30.5M | 19.2M | 43.9M | 84.3M | 51.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 21.0M | 79.4M | 85.1M | 580.2M | 667.3M | 700.6M |
Aveanna Healthcare Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aveanna Healthcare or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aveanna Healthcare's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aveanna stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Aveanna Healthcare Volatility Alert
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aveanna Healthcare's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aveanna Healthcare's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Aveanna Healthcare Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Aveanna Healthcare's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aveanna Healthcare's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aveanna Healthcare and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aveanna Healthcare or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aveanna Healthcare's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aveanna Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Aveanna Healthcare to competition |
| Fundamentals | Aveanna Healthcare | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -5.48 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0488 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.01) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.26 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 195.09 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.10 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 89.89 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.31 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 1.17 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.50 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.02 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 635.54 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 187.38 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (10.93 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 17.46 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.09 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.33 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 7.17 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.81 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (0.80) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 32.64 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.70 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.06) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.85 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 5.62 | |
| Beta | 2.25 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.01 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.66 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.38 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (9.5 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 1.66 B |
Note: Acquisition by Rodgers Steven E of 28261 shares of Aveanna Healthcare subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Aveanna Healthcare Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aveanna . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Aveanna Healthcare Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Aveanna Healthcare Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Aveanna Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Aveanna Healthcare Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aveanna Healthcare. If investors know Aveanna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aveanna Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | Earnings Share (0.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.086 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Aveanna Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aveanna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aveanna Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aveanna Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aveanna Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aveanna Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aveanna Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aveanna Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aveanna Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.