Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AVAH Stock  USD 5.19  0.05  0.97%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aveanna Healthcare Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Aveanna Healthcare's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Aveanna Healthcare Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aveanna and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Aveanna Healthcare Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Aveanna Healthcare Buy or Sell Advice

The Aveanna recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aveanna Healthcare Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aveanna Healthcare Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aveanna Healthcare's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aveanna HealthcareBuy Aveanna Healthcare
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aveanna Healthcare Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0229, Jensen Alpha of 0.2039, Total Risk Alpha of 0.809, Sortino Ratio of 0.053 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0791
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aveanna Healthcare. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aveanna Healthcare is not overpriced, please confirm all Aveanna Healthcare fundamentals, including its price to sales, cash per share, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and ebitda . Given that Aveanna Healthcare has a number of shares shorted of 1.31 M, we suggest you to validate Aveanna Healthcare Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aveanna Healthcare Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aveanna Healthcare had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Aveanna Healthcare has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings currently holds 1.33 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.17, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Aveanna Healthcare has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Aveanna Healthcare's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 635.54 M.
Over 90.0% of Aveanna Healthcare shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Aveanna healthcare targets 2.1B-2.12B revenue in 2025 with preferred payor strategy

Aveanna Healthcare Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aveanna Healthcare's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aveanna Healthcare's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aveanna Healthcare daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aveanna Healthcare Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aveanna Healthcare returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aveanna Healthcare.
Mean Return
0.1
Value At Risk
-5.4
Potential Upside
6.11
Standard Deviation
5.77
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aveanna Healthcare historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aveanna Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
466.7 K
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2024-12-31
435.9 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
400.4 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
313.9 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-12-31
282.9 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
249.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
218.3 K
Tudor Investment Corp Et Al2024-12-31
215 K
Mackenzie Investments2024-12-31
214.4 K
Bain Capital Investors Llc2024-12-31
81.6 M
J.h. Whitney Equity Partners Vii, Llc2024-12-31
48.7 M
Note, although Aveanna Healthcare's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aveanna Healthcare Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Investments(193.5M)1.0M(11.7M)(10.4M)(6.3M)(6.6M)
Change In Cash134.0M(106.9M)(11.3M)24.7M40.3M42.4M
Net Borrowings68.9M166.1M1.4B68.1M78.3M74.4M
Free Cash Flow101.4M(27.3M)(60.4M)16.6M26.3M27.6M
Depreciation30.2M35.4M38.8M30.1M31.2M32.2M
Other Non Cash Items90.1M125.9M601.3M136.3M(6.1M)(5.8M)
Capital Expenditures15.2M16.0M12.0M6.1M6.3M10.5M
Net Income(57.1M)(117.0M)(662.0M)(134.5M)(10.9M)(11.5M)
End Period Cash Flow137.3M30.5M19.2M43.9M84.3M51.3M
Change To Netincome21.0M79.4M85.1M580.2M667.3M700.6M

Aveanna Healthcare Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aveanna Healthcare or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aveanna Healthcare's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aveanna stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.08
σ
Overall volatility
5.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Aveanna Healthcare Volatility Alert

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aveanna Healthcare's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aveanna Healthcare's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aveanna Healthcare Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aveanna Healthcare's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aveanna Healthcare's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aveanna Healthcare and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aveanna Healthcare or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aveanna Healthcare's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aveanna Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aveanna Healthcare to competition
FundamentalsAveanna HealthcarePeer Average
Return On Equity-5.48-0.31
Return On Asset0.0488-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.26 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding195.09 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.10 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.89 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.31 M4.71 M
Price To Book1.17 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.50 X11.42 X
Revenue2.02 B9.43 B
Gross Profit635.54 M27.38 B
EBITDA187.38 M3.9 B
Net Income(10.93 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents17.46 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.09 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.33 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity7.17 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.81 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.80) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations32.64 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.70 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.06) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.85 X4.89 X
Target Price5.62
Beta2.25-0.15
Market Capitalization1.01 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.66 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.38 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(9.5 M)1.48 B
Net Asset1.66 B
Note: Acquisition by Rodgers Steven E of 28261 shares of Aveanna Healthcare subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Aveanna Healthcare Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aveanna . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aveanna Healthcare Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aveanna Healthcare Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Aveanna Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Aveanna Healthcare in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Wholesale
Wholesale Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Wholesale Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Aveanna Healthcare offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Aveanna Healthcare's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Stock:
Check out Aveanna Healthcare Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aveanna Healthcare. If investors know Aveanna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aveanna Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
Earnings Share
(0.06)
Revenue Per Share
10.495
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.086
Return On Assets
0.0488
The market value of Aveanna Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aveanna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aveanna Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aveanna Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aveanna Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aveanna Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aveanna Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aveanna Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aveanna Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.