Atlanticus Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ATLC Stock  USD 58.73  1.51  2.64%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Atlanticus Holdings is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Atlanticus Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ATLC positions.
  
Check out Atlanticus Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Atlanticus Stock refer to our How to Trade Atlanticus Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Atlanticus and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Atlanticus Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Atlanticus Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The Atlanticus recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Atlanticus Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Atlanticus Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Atlanticus Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Atlanticus HoldingsBuy Atlanticus Holdings
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Atlanticus Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2379, Jensen Alpha of 0.5372, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3686, Sortino Ratio of 0.3295 and Treynor Ratio of 0.385
Our advice module provides unbiased investment recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Atlanticus Holdings. Our advice engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Atlanticus Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all Atlanticus Holdings fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Atlanticus Holdings has a number of shares shorted of 320.46 K, we suggest you to validate Atlanticus Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Atlanticus Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: Atlanticus Holdings SWOT analysis subprime lender navigates regulatory landscape

Atlanticus Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Atlanticus Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Atlanticus Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Atlanticus Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Atlanticus Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Atlanticus Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Atlanticus Holdings.
Mean Return
0.79
Value At Risk
-2.04
Potential Upside
5.83
Standard Deviation
2.62
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Atlanticus Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Atlanticus Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
18.6 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-06-30
16.2 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
15.6 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
15.1 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
14.7 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
14.2 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-06-30
13.3 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
13.2 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
12.6 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
618.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
425.4 K
Note, although Atlanticus Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Atlanticus Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash34.6M82.6M247.7M(73.4M)(49.5M)(47.1M)
Free Cash Flow99.7M212.0M205.3M341.3M455.3M478.1M
Depreciation7.7M8.0M2.5M4.8M2.6M2.4M
Other Non Cash Items(12.2M)98.9M208.7M442.2M550.7M578.3M
Capital Expenditures250K749K7.1M4.9M4.0M7.7M
Net Income26.2M93.9M177.8M134.6M102.8M108.0M
End Period Cash Flow176.4M259.0M506.6M433.2M383.7M402.8M
Change To Netincome(7.4M)131.3M250.8M581.2M668.4M701.8M
Change To Inventory(6.6M)(8.9M)5.5M20.1M23.2M24.3M
Investments(433.4M)998K(469.0M)(675.9M)(617.4M)(586.5M)
Change Receivables1.8M(43.3M)(111.8M)(252.7M)(227.4M)(216.1M)
Net Borrowings281.0M128.0M479.8M370.8M426.4M447.7M

Atlanticus Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Atlanticus Holdings or Consumer Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Atlanticus Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Atlanticus stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.03
σ
Overall volatility
2.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.25

Atlanticus Holdings Volatility Alert

Atlanticus Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.25 and Jensen Alpha of 0.54. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Atlanticus Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Atlanticus Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Atlanticus Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Atlanticus Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Atlanticus Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Atlanticus Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Atlanticus Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Atlanticus Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atlanticus Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Atlanticus Holdings to competition
FundamentalsAtlanticus HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.19-0.31
Return On Asset0.0374-0.14
Profit Margin0.28 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.37 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.95 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.74 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders67.82 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions15.21 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted320.46 K4.71 M
Price To Earning6.97 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.84 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.25 X11.42 X
Revenue354.18 M9.43 B
Gross Profit290.5 M27.38 B
EBITDA929 M3.9 B
Net Income102.84 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents316.33 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share21.85 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.03 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity3.71 %48.70 %
Current Ratio22.07 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share31.06 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations459.32 M971.22 M
Short Ratio11.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.45 X3.12 X
Target Price53.0
Number Of Employees38618.84 K
Beta1.93-0.15
Market Capitalization843.36 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.71 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings307.26 M9.33 B
Net Asset2.71 B
Note: Disposition of 359 shares by Harrod Denise M of Atlanticus Holdings at 49.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Atlanticus Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Atlanticus . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Atlanticus Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Atlanticus Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Atlanticus Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Atlanticus Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Obamacare Repeal Theme
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When determining whether Atlanticus Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Atlanticus Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Atlanticus Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Atlanticus Holdings Stock:
Check out Atlanticus Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Atlanticus Stock refer to our How to Trade Atlanticus Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlanticus Holdings. If investors know Atlanticus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlanticus Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.23
Earnings Share
4.45
Revenue Per Share
25.457
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.134
Return On Assets
0.0374
The market value of Atlanticus Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlanticus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlanticus Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlanticus Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlanticus Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlanticus Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlanticus Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atlanticus Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlanticus Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.